Garuda Lions
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HNL · ·Matchday 13

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes

Garuda Lions Prediction: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — NK Lokomotiva Zagreb is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Stadion Kranjčevićeva, ZagrebReferee: Ante Terzic

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 45%
Draw 27%
Rudes 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins
45%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
56%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNK Lokomotiva ZagrebDrawRudes
Model43.0%27.7%29.3%
Market45.5%26.7%27.7%
Final44.9%27.0%28.1%
Edge-0.6%+0.2%+0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.3% per unit staked (our 44.9% × 2.11 − 1).

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes match preview

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb faces Rudes in their upcoming match, with probabilities indicating a 45% chance of victory for the home side, while Rudes has a 28% chance and a draw stands at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, with an expected goals metric of 1.52 for them and 1.22 for Rudes.

Recent form shows NK Lokomotiva Zagreb struggling with two losses and a draw in their last five matches, while Rudes has performed better, winning three of their last five. In head-to-head encounters over the last ten matches, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb has secured six wins compared to Rudes' one, suggesting a historical advantage for the home team.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

NK Lokomotiva ↓ / Rudes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and Rudes expected goals

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.52
Rudes 1.22

Total expected goals: 2.73

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and Rudes attack and defence ratings

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Rudes

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 44.9% 2.23 -0.6% 2.11
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.5% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.2% 1.78 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.0% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb44.9%
Draw27.0%
Rudes28.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.5%
Under 2.548.5%
Both teams to scoreYes56.2%
No43.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.9%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)55.1%
Handicap -1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss57.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
2-19.1%
1-08.6%
Compare prices for this pick

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes stats

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and Rudes recent form

newest first
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb LDWLLD
Rudes WWLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and Rudes season so far

league record

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb record

  • They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rudes record

  • They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins 3Draws 1Rudes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-21RudesNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL4-1
2024-05-18RudesNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL3-3
2024-03-09NK Lokomotiva ZagrebRudesHNL3-0
2023-12-03RudesNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL0-0
2023-09-15NK Lokomotiva ZagrebRudesHNL1-0
2019-04-20RudesNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL1-2
2019-02-15NK Lokomotiva ZagrebRudesHNL0-0
2018-10-26RudesNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL0-4
2018-08-11NK Lokomotiva ZagrebRudesHNL1-0
2018-04-18RudesNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.5%, draw 26.7%, away 27.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.98 3.54 3.42
Bet365 1.95 3.30 3.30
BetVictor 2.00 3.40 3.25
Betano 2.10 3.45 3.30
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.30
Dafabet 2.11 3.55 3.40
Marathonbet 1.96 3.54 3.40
Pinnacle 2.10 3.69 3.35
SBO 2.02 3.06 3.04
William Hill 2.05 3.40 3.25
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.01 ▲ +0.26
X 3.42 ▼ -0.28
2 3.30 ▼ -0.85

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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