HNL Β· Β·Matchday 12

Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb

Garuda Lions Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.41 vs 1.70.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

SC Rudes, Zagreb

Rudes 26%
Draw 21%
Dinamo Zagreb 53%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Dinamo Zagreb wins
53%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
98%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
75%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
8% of simulated outcomes

Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRudesDrawDinamo Zagreb
Model26.3%20.6%53.1%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final26.3%20.6%53.1%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Dinamo Zagreb

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.41 vs 1.70.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb match preview

Rudes faces Dinamo Zagreb in their upcoming HNL match, with the model assigning Rudes a 24% chance of winning, while Dinamo Zagreb holds a 57% probability of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%. The expectation for goals in the match is high, with over 2.5 goals forecasted at 82% and both teams to score at 78%.

In terms of recent form, Rudes has struggled, recording one win in their last six matches (L-W-D-L-L-L), whereas Dinamo Zagreb has shown more resilience with three wins in their last six (L-W-W-L-W-D). The expected goals for Rudes stand at 1.75, while Dinamo Zagreb is projected to score 2.69. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rudes ↓ / Dinamo Zagreb β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 4% 1 7% 8% 7% 7% 2 6% 7% 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

Rudes and Dinamo Zagreb expected goals

Rudes 1.70
Dinamo Zagreb 2.41

Total expected goals: 4.11

Rudes and Dinamo Zagreb attack and defence ratings

Rudes

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Dinamo Zagreb

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dinamo Zagreb 53.1% 1.88 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.8% 1.29 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 75.1% 1.33 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.4% 1.26 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 46.9% 2.13 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rudes26.3%
Draw20.6%
Dinamo Zagreb53.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.8%
Under 2.522.2%
Both teams to scoreYes75.1%
No24.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.9%
12 (either side)79.4%
X2 (draw or away)73.7%
Handicap -1Dinamo Zagreb win33.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss46.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.1%
1-17.4%
2-26.9%

Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb stats

Rudes and Dinamo Zagreb recent form

newest first
Rudes WLWDLL
Dinamo Zagreb LWWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rudes and Dinamo Zagreb season so far

league record

Rudes record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dinamo Zagreb record

  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Rudes wins 0Draws 1Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-14Dinamo ZagrebRudesHNL4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Dinamo Zagreb Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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