HNL Β· Β·Matchday 11

NK Osijek vs Rudes

Garuda Lions Prediction: NK Osijek

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

Opus Arena, Osijek

NK Osijek 66%
Draw 18%
Rudes 16%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance NK Osijek wins
66%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
67%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

NK Osijek vs Rudes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: NK Osijek vs Rudes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNK OsijekDrawRudes
Model65.8%18.5%15.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final65.8%18.5%15.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why NK Osijek

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.61 vs 1.25.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

NK Osijek vs Rudes match preview

NK Osijek is set to face Rudes in the upcoming HNL match on October 24, 2026. According to our model, NK Osijek holds a 66% probability of winning, while Rudes has a 16% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of NK Osijek, with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for NK Osijek stand at 2.61, compared to Rudes' 1.25.

In terms of recent form, NK Osijek has recorded a mixed set of results with one win in their last six matches, while Rudes has struggled, losing four of their last six. Our model suggests a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance that both teams will score in this encounter. The head-to-head record shows NK Osijek with one win against Rudes’ zero.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

NK Osijek ↓ / Rudes β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 8% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 8% 5% 4+ 8% 10% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

NK Osijek and Rudes expected goals

NK Osijek 2.61
Rudes 1.25

Total expected goals: 3.85

NK Osijek and Rudes attack and defence ratings

NK Osijek

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Rudes

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.54 +54%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

NK Osijek vs Rudes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 NK Osijek 65.8% 1.52 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.0% 1.35 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 66.7% 1.50 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.3% 1.19 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 NK Osijek win 45.6% 2.19 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2NK Osijek65.8%
Draw18.5%
Rudes15.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.0%
Under 2.526.0%
Both teams to scoreYes66.7%
No33.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.3%
12 (either side)81.5%
X2 (draw or away)34.2%
Handicap -1NK Osijek win45.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss34.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.0%
3-17.8%
1-17.6%

NK Osijek vs Rudes stats

NK Osijek and Rudes recent form

newest first
NK Osijek LDWLWL
Rudes LWDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

NK Osijek and Rudes season so far

league record

NK Osijek record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rudes record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

NK Osijek vs Rudes head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1NK Osijek wins 0Draws 0Rudes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08RudesNK OsijekHNL1-6

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

NK Osijek vs Rudes odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 NK Osijek Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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