Rudes
vs
HNK Rijeka
Garuda Lions Prediction: HNK Rijeka
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Rudes vs HNK Rijeka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rudes vs HNK Rijeka
| Probability | Rudes | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.9% | 21.9% | 58.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 19.9% | 21.9% | 58.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why HNK Rijeka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.30.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Rudes vs HNK Rijeka match preview
Rudes faces HNK Rijeka in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a strong advantage for the visitors, with HNK Rijeka holding a 58% chance of winning compared to Rudes' 20%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with an expectation of 1.24 goals for Rudes and 2.19 for HNK Rijeka. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67%, while both teams scoring is projected at 64%.
Recent form shows Rudes struggling with a record of D-L-L-L-W-L, while HNK Rijeka has been more consistent with W-D-W-D-L-W. In their only recent head-to-head encounter, HNK Rijeka secured a win against Rudes, further emphasizing their current form and confidence heading into this match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rudes and HNK Rijeka expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
Rudes and HNK Rijeka attack and defence ratings
Rudes
HNK Rijeka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Rudes vs HNK Rijeka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HNK Rijeka | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rudes | 19.9% |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| HNK Rijeka | 58.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% |
| No | 36.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | HNK Rijeka win | 32.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 46.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.8% |
Rudes vs HNK Rijeka stats
Rudes and HNK Rijeka recent form
| Rudes |
WDLLLW |
| HNK Rijeka |
WDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rudes and HNK Rijeka season so far
Rudes record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HNK Rijeka record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
Rudes vs HNK Rijeka head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | HNK Rijeka | Rudes | HNL | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.