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HNL · Full time ·Matchday 10

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka

1 – 2 Full time

5′Samuele Vignato
36′Branko pavic
45′Lovre Rogić
45′Xavier Cabrita FernandesVid Seitz
63′Jakov PuljićD. Adu-Adjei
63′Justas LasickasIvan Cubelic
67′Ivan ĐoricLenny Ilecic
67′Saad El HaddadKristijan Lovrić
71′Vedran Celjak
74′Toni Fruk
79′Branko pavicAmer Gojak
84′Felipe Curciofilip taraba
84′Junior FernandesJurica Poldrugac
89′Kristijan Lovrić
89′Samuele VignatoNoel Bodetic
89′Toni FrukNiko Janković
90′Niko Janković
90′Noa skoko

Stadion Radnik, Veliky GoricaReferee: Antonio Skobic

Rudes 17%
Draw 20%
HNK Rijeka 62%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
30 Possession % 70
3 Corners 4
8 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
228 Accurate passes 664

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rudes vs HNK Rijeka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRudesDrawHNK Rijeka
Model30.8%23.1%46.1%
Market12.4%19.6%68.0%
Final17.0%20.5%62.5%
Edge+4.6%+0.9%-5.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why HNK Rijeka

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.64.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rudes ↓ / HNK Rijeka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Rudes and HNK Rijeka expected goals

Rudes 1.64
HNK Rijeka 2.02

Total expected goals: 3.66

Rudes and HNK Rijeka attack and defence ratings

Rudes

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.57 +57%

HNK Rijeka

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka: result vs prediction

Rudes 1 – 2 HNK Rijeka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 HNK Rijeka 62.5% 1.60 -5.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.8% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.7% 1.41 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 83.0% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.9% 1.85 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rudes17.0%
Draw20.5%
HNK Rijeka62.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.8%
Under 2.529.2%
Both teams to scoreYes70.7%
No29.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)37.5%
12 (either side)79.5%
X2 (draw or away)83.0%
Handicap -1HNK Rijeka win26.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss53.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.4%
1-28.6%
2-27.1%

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka stats

Rudes and HNK Rijeka recent form

newest first
Rudes WDLLLW
HNK Rijeka LWDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rudes and HNK Rijeka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rudes record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

HNK Rijeka record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Rudes wins 0Draws 10HNK Rijeka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-02HNK RijekaRudesHNL2-1
2024-03-30RudesHNK RijekaHNL0-3
2024-02-28RudesHNK RijekaCup0-1
2023-12-16HNK RijekaRudesHNL3-0
2023-10-01RudesHNK RijekaHNL1-2
2023-07-22HNK RijekaRudesHNL4-0
2019-04-28HNK RijekaRudesHNL3-1
2019-02-22RudesHNK RijekaHNL2-4
2018-11-05HNK RijekaRudesHNL5-1
2018-08-19RudesHNK RijekaHNL1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rudes vs HNK Rijeka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 12.4%, draw 19.6%, away 68.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 7.37 4.80 1.36
Bet365 7.00 4.33 1.33
BetVictor 7.50 4.60 1.33
Betano 7.40 4.55 1.40
Betfair 7.50 4.75 1.30
Dafabet 7.40 5.00 1.39
Marathonbet 7.30 4.80 1.35
Pinnacle 8.26 5.05 1.35
SBO 6.47 4.26 1.33
William Hill 7.50 4.60 1.36

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 7.40 ▼ -1.80
X 4.67 ▼ -0.62
2 1.35 ▲ +0.08

9 snapshots recorded, from .