HNK Gorica
vs
Rudes
1 – 2 Full time
HNK Gorica vs Rudes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: HNK Gorica vs Rudes
| Probability | HNK Gorica | Draw | Rudes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.2% | 26.3% | 23.5% |
| Market | 57.5% | 24.1% | 18.4% |
| Final | 55.7% | 24.6% | 19.7% |
| Edge | -7.4% | +2.2% | +5.1% |
Why HNK Gorica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.10.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
HNK Gorica and Rudes expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
HNK Gorica and Rudes attack and defence ratings
HNK Gorica
Rudes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
HNK Gorica vs Rudes: result vs prediction
HNK Gorica 1 – 2 Rudes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
HNK Gorica vs Rudes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HNK Gorica | 55.7% | 1.80 | -7.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HNK Gorica | 55.7% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Rudes | 19.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | HNK Gorica win | 27.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 49.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.2% |
HNK Gorica vs Rudes stats
HNK Gorica and Rudes recent form
| HNK Gorica |
WDLDLL |
| Rudes |
DLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
HNK Gorica and Rudes going into this match
HNK Gorica record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rudes record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HNK Gorica vs Rudes head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 | Rudes | HNK Gorica | Cup | 0-6 |
| 2024-07-27 | HNK Gorica | Rudes | Friendlies Clubs | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-10 | HNK Gorica | Rudes | HNL | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-04 | Rudes | HNK Gorica | HNL | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-26 | HNK Gorica | Rudes | HNL | 3-0 |
| 2023-09-02 | Rudes | HNK Gorica | HNL | 0-2 |
| 2023-06-28 | Rudes | HNK Gorica | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2022-01-22 | HNK Gorica | Rudes | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2019-05-03 | Rudes | HNK Gorica | HNL | 1-1 |
| 2019-03-02 | HNK Gorica | Rudes | HNL | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
HNK Gorica vs Rudes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.5%, draw 24.1%, away 18.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 3.94 | 4.97 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 3.80 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.85 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.63 | 4.10 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 3.94 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 4.07 | 5.30 |
| SBO | 1.50 | 3.52 | 4.67 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .