Dinamo Zagreb
vs
HNK Rijeka
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka
| Probability | Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.8% | 22.9% | 24.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.8% | 22.9% | 24.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dinamo Zagreb
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.28.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dinamo Zagreb and HNK Rijeka expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.26
Dinamo Zagreb and HNK Rijeka attack and defence ratings
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 52.8% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| HNK Rijeka | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.2% |
| No | 33.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Zagreb win | 31.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 47.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 6.8% |
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka stats
Dinamo Zagreb and HNK Rijeka recent form
| Dinamo Zagreb |
WLWDLW |
| HNK Rijeka |
WLWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dinamo Zagreb and HNK Rijeka season so far
Dinamo Zagreb record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HNK Rijeka record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Dinamo Zagreb | HNK Rijeka | HNL | 2-2 |
| 2026-02-08 | HNK Rijeka | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Dinamo Zagreb | HNK Rijeka | HNL | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | HNK Rijeka | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.