Istra 1961
vs
HNK Hajduk Split
Garuda Lions Prediction: Istra 1961
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split
| Probability | Istra 1961 | Draw | HNK Hajduk Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.6% | 25.6% | 36.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.6% | 25.6% | 36.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split attack and defence ratings
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Istra 1961 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Istra 1961 | 37.6% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| HNK Hajduk Split | 36.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% |
| No | 35.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Istra 1961 win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.7% | |
| Loss | 71.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split stats
Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split recent form
| Istra 1961 |
LWLWDD |
| HNK Hajduk Split |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split season so far
Istra 1961 record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HNK Hajduk Split record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | HNK Hajduk Split | Istra 1961 | HNL | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-07 | Istra 1961 | HNK Hajduk Split | HNL | 1-3 |
| 2026-01-25 | HNK Hajduk Split | Istra 1961 | HNL | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Istra 1961 | HNK Hajduk Split | HNL | 0-3 |
| 2025-08-03 | HNK Hajduk Split | Istra 1961 | HNL | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.