NK Slaven Belupo
vs
Istra 1961
Garuda Lions Prediction: Istra 1961
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961
| Probability | NK Slaven Belupo | Draw | Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.9% | 25.0% | 41.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.9% | 25.0% | 41.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 match preview
In the upcoming match between NK Slaven Belupo and Istra 1961, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Istra 1961 favored at 44%, while NK Slaven Belupo has a 31% chance of winning and a 25% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams are expected to contribute to the score, with a 66% likelihood that both will score and a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Recent form shows NK Slaven Belupo with a mixed record of L-W-D-L-W-L, while Istra 1961 has performed slightly better with L-W-L-W-D-D. In their last five head-to-head meetings, both teams have secured two wins each, along with one draw. The expected goals for NK Slaven Belupo stand at 1.50, while Istra 1961 is projected to score 1.82.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
NK Slaven Belupo and Istra 1961 expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
NK Slaven Belupo and Istra 1961 attack and defence ratings
NK Slaven Belupo
Istra 1961
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Istra 1961 | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NK Slaven Belupo | 33.9% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Istra 1961 | 41.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% |
| No | 34.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Istra 1961 win | 22.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 stats
NK Slaven Belupo and Istra 1961 recent form
| NK Slaven Belupo |
WLWDLW |
| Istra 1961 |
LWLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
NK Slaven Belupo and Istra 1961 season so far
NK Slaven Belupo record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Istra 1961 record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Istra 1961 | NK Slaven Belupo | HNL | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Istra 1961 | NK Slaven Belupo | HNL | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-27 | NK Slaven Belupo | Istra 1961 | HNL | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Istra 1961 | NK Slaven Belupo | HNL | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-12 | NK Slaven Belupo | Istra 1961 | HNL | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.