NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
vs
NK Osijek
Garuda Lions Prediction: NK Osijek
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — NK Osijek is the favourite, not a value bet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek
| Probability | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | Draw | NK Osijek |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.7% | 30.3% | 33.0% |
| Market | 34.3% | 27.9% | 37.9% |
| Final | 34.9% | 28.5% | 36.6% |
| Edge | +0.6% | +0.6% | -1.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.4% per unit staked (our 36.6% × 2.50 − 1).
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek match preview
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb faces NK Osijek in a match with closely matched probabilities, as NK Lokomotiva Zagreb has a 35% chance of winning, while NK Osijek stands at 37%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to generate similar expected goals, with NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at 1.24 and NK Osijek at 1.16.
In terms of recent form, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb has recorded a series of results with D-W-L-L-D-L, while NK Osijek's latest matches show L-D-L-D-W-L. The head-to-head record over the last five encounters indicates a competitive history, with NK Lokomotiva Zagreb securing 1 win, NK Osijek also with 1 win, and 3 matches ending in draws. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Osijek expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Osijek attack and defence ratings
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NK Osijek | 36.6% | 2.73 | -1.2% | 2.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 34.9% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| NK Osijek | 36.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | NK Osijek win | 14.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 67.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-0 | 10.0% |
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek stats
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Osijek recent form
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
DWLLDL |
| NK Osijek |
LDLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Osijek season so far
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
NK Osijek record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | NK Osijek | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-25 | NK Osijek | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-21 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | NK Osijek | HNL | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-23 | NK Osijek | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | NK Osijek | HNL | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.3%, draw 27.9%, away 37.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.67 | 3.38 | 2.41 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.67 | 3.38 | 2.41 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.45 |