HNL · Full time ·Matchday 8

NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek

0 – 0 Full time

11′Jay Kruiver
27′Gregor Sikošek
35′Marcel Heister
46′G. SikosekE. Durakovic
46′A. LatkovicE. Uchegbu
46′L. JelenicE. Hasic
63′L. TunjicN. Farkas
63′A. LjatifiA. Cantero
67′Niko Farkaš
67′I. TavaresT. Duvnjak
67′S. JuricV. Akrap
68′J. JezicB. Bakti
84′M. MladenovskiL. Skaricic

Gradski stadion Varazdin, VaraždinReferee: Ante Čulina, Croatia

NK Varazdin 48%
Draw 27%
NK Osijek 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
47 Possession % 53
7 Corners 2
15 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
257 Accurate passes 335

NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek overview

Garuda Lions analysis: NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNK VarazdinDrawNK Osijek
Model48.9%25.3%25.8%
Market47.3%27.5%25.2%
Final47.7%26.9%25.4%
Edge+1.6%-2.2%+0.6%

Confidence: Low

Why NK Varazdin

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.26.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

NK Varazdin ↓ / NK Osijek → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

NK Varazdin and NK Osijek expected goals

NK Varazdin 1.80
NK Osijek 1.26

Total expected goals: 3.06

NK Varazdin and NK Osijek attack and defence ratings

NK Varazdin

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.85 -15%

NK Osijek

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek: result vs prediction

NK Varazdin 0 – 0 NK Osijek

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 NK Varazdin 47.7% 2.10 +1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.9% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.8% 1.64 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.1% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2NK Varazdin47.7%
Draw26.9%
NK Osijek25.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.9%
Under 2.541.1%
Both teams to scoreYes60.8%
No39.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.6%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)52.3%
Handicap -1NK Varazdin win27.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss51.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-19.6%
2-07.6%

NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek stats

NK Varazdin and NK Osijek recent form

newest first
NK Varazdin DDWLWW
NK Osijek WLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

NK Varazdin and NK Osijek going into this match

league record before kick-off

NK Varazdin record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

NK Osijek record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3NK Varazdin wins 5Draws 2NK Osijek wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-17NK OsijekNK VarazdinHNL0-2
2026-02-08NK VarazdinNK OsijekHNL2-1
2025-12-03NK VarazdinNK OsijekCup1-1
2025-11-02NK OsijekNK VarazdinHNL0-0
2025-08-17NK VarazdinNK OsijekHNL0-0
2025-05-17NK VarazdinNK OsijekHNL2-1
2025-03-16NK OsijekNK VarazdinHNL0-0
2024-12-15NK VarazdinNK OsijekHNL0-0
2024-09-29NK OsijekNK VarazdinHNL2-1
2024-05-25NK VarazdinNK OsijekHNL0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.3%, draw 27.5%, away 25.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.94 3.24 3.92
Bet365 1.85 3.30 3.50
BetVictor 1.91 3.50 3.40
Betano 1.98 3.45 3.65
Betfair 1.90 3.30 3.60
Marathonbet 1.92 3.24 3.90
Pinnacle 1.98 3.20 4.25
SBO 1.90 3.07 3.13
William Hill 1.95 3.40 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.92 ▼ -0.18
X 3.30 ▲ +0.25
2 3.60 ▲ +0.02

9 snapshots recorded, from .