HNL · 2026-09-20T15:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split

3 – 0 Full time

4′			I. Cubelic
35′			T. Dantas
38′			R. Raci
45′			J. Lasickas
45′			S. Vignato
45′			T. Silic
57′			D. Adu Adjei
62′			A. PajazitiA. del Moral
64′			B. Pavic
65′			I. CubelicA. Barco
73′			M. AcapandieD. Hadzikadunic
73′			M. SoticekC. Martin
74′			J. LasickasM. Devetak
74′			S. VignatoM. Mohebi
75′			K. Fayad
82′			A. SanyangA. Huram
82′			K. FayadD. Melnjak
85′			T. FrukA. Gojak
85′			T. DantasN. Jankovic

Stadion HNK Rijeka, RijekaReferee: Mateo Erceg, Croatia

HNK Rijeka

43%

Draw

27%

HNK Hajduk Split

30%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

7	Shots	13
4	Shots on target	7
41	Possession %	59
0	Corners	4
14	Fouls	7
2	Offsides	1
7	Saves	1
284	Accurate passes	459

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split overview

Garuda Lions analysis: HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	HNK Rijeka	Draw	HNK Hajduk Split
Model	29.3%	27.0%	43.7%
Market	47.8%	27.3%	24.9%
Final	43.2%	27.2%	29.6%
Edge	-18.5%	-0.3%	+18.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

79%

3+ goals

54%

No goals

HNK Rijeka and HNK Hajduk Split expected goals

HNK Rijeka

1.26

HNK Hajduk Split

1.59

Total expected goals: 2.85

HNK Rijeka and HNK Hajduk Split attack and defence ratings

HNK Rijeka

Attack

1.00 +0%

Defence

0.89 -11%

HNK Hajduk Split

Attack

1.49 +49%

Defence

0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split: result vs prediction

HNK Rijeka 3 – 0 HNK Hajduk Split

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

HNL

Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo · 2026-09-18
NK Varazdin v NK Osijek — match page · 2026-09-19
Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Dinamo Zagreb v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — match page · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

HNK Rijeka, previous: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka: odds and pick
HNK Rijeka, next: NK Slaven Belupo – HNK Rijeka, 2026-10-11
HNK Hajduk Split, previous: HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction
HNK Hajduk Split, next: HNK Hajduk Split v Dinamo Zagreb analysis

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	HNK Rijeka	43.2%	2.32	-18.5%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	54.2%	1.84	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	58.2%	1.72	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.8%	1.37	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	70.7%	1.41	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	HNK Rijeka	43.2%
	Draw	27.2%
	HNK Hajduk Split	29.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	54.2%
	Under 2.5	45.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	58.2%
	No	41.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	70.4%
	12 (either side)	72.8%
	X2 (draw or away)	56.8%
Handicap -1	HNK Rijeka win	12.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	16.4%
	Loss	70.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.8%
	1-2	9.2%
	0-1	8.0%

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split stats

HNK Rijeka and HNK Hajduk Split recent form

newest first

HNK Rijeka	DWDLWL
HNK Hajduk Split	WWLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

HNK Rijeka and HNK Hajduk Split going into this match

league record before kick-off

HNK Rijeka record

They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.

HNK Hajduk Split record

They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4HNK Rijeka wins 4Draws 2HNK Hajduk Split wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-26	HNK Rijeka	HNK Hajduk Split	HNL	0-0
2026-03-04	HNK Rijeka	HNK Hajduk Split	Cup	3-2
2026-02-22	HNK Hajduk Split	HNK Rijeka	HNL	1-0
2025-11-22	HNK Rijeka	HNK Hajduk Split	HNL	5-0
2025-08-31	HNK Hajduk Split	HNK Rijeka	HNL	2-2
2025-05-18	HNK Hajduk Split	HNK Rijeka	HNL	2-1
2025-03-16	HNK Rijeka	HNK Hajduk Split	HNL	3-0
2025-02-26	HNK Hajduk Split	HNK Rijeka	Cup	1-3
2024-12-15	HNK Hajduk Split	HNK Rijeka	HNL	2-2
2024-09-29	HNK Rijeka	HNK Hajduk Split	HNL	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.8%, draw 27.3%, away 24.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.94	3.38	3.74
Bet365	1.85	3.30	3.70
BetVictor	1.90	3.40	3.60
Betano	1.98	3.40	3.70
Betfair	1.90	3.40	3.60
Marathonbet	1.93	3.36	3.70
Pinnacle	2.02	3.42	3.78
SBO	1.86	3.15	3.38
William Hill	2.00	3.20	3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.93 ▼ -0.12

X 3.38 ▲ +0.08

2 3.70 ▲ +0.20

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-14T08:10:01Z.