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HNL · Full time ·Matchday 7

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo

1 – 0 Full time

12′Adrion Pajaziti
20′Karlo Isasegi
22′Dalisson De Almeida Leite
44′Dalisson De Almeida Leite
45′Filip mazar
45′Karlo IsasegiAntonio jakir
45′Leon BošnjakDavid Bosak
62′Alberto del MoralKhalil Fayad
62′marin soticekCarlos Martín Domínguez
72′Abdoulie SanyangAdam Huram
79′Filip mazar
80′Michele ŠegoMarko Livaja
80′Ilija NestorovskiLosika Ratshukudu
83′Dario Marešić
90′Adeshina Adetunji Jon Mersinaj
90′Losika Ratshukudu

Stadion Poljud, SplitReferee: Patrik Pavlešić, Croatia

HNK Hajduk Split 76%
Draw 15%
NK Slaven Belupo 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
68 Possession % 32
3 Corners 4
15 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 4
2 Saves 0
539 Accurate passes 210

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHNK Hajduk SplitDrawNK Slaven Belupo
Model85.8%9.6%4.6%
Market73.0%16.1%10.8%
Final76.2%14.5%9.3%
Edge+12.8%-6.6%-6.2%

Confidence: Low

Why HNK Hajduk Split

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.55 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices HNK Hajduk Split below the model: +12.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

HNK Hajduk Spl ↓ / NK Slaven Belu → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 4+ 20% 17%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

HNK Hajduk Split and NK Slaven Belupo expected goals

HNK Hajduk Split 3.55
NK Slaven Belupo 0.84

Total expected goals: 4.39

HNK Hajduk Split and NK Slaven Belupo attack and defence ratings

HNK Hajduk Split

Attack 1.64 +64%
Defence 0.93 -7%

NK Slaven Belupo

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo: result vs prediction

HNK Hajduk Split 1 – 0 NK Slaven Belupo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 HNK Hajduk Split 76.2% 1.31 +12.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81.5% 1.23 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.7% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 HNK Hajduk Split win 70.9% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2HNK Hajduk Split76.2%
Draw14.5%
NK Slaven Belupo9.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.581.5%
Under 2.518.5%
Both teams to scoreYes55.8%
No44.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.7%
12 (either side)85.5%
X2 (draw or away)23.8%
Handicap -1HNK Hajduk Split win70.9%
Push (exactly one goal)14.9%
Loss14.3%
Correct score (top 3)3-09.2%
4-08.2%
3-17.8%

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo stats

HNK Hajduk Split and NK Slaven Belupo recent form

newest first
HNK Hajduk Split WLWWDW
NK Slaven Belupo WLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

HNK Hajduk Split and NK Slaven Belupo going into this match

league record before kick-off

HNK Hajduk Split record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

NK Slaven Belupo record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7HNK Hajduk Split wins 3Draws 0NK Slaven Belupo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-17NK Slaven BelupoHNK Hajduk SplitHNL2-2
2026-02-07HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven BelupoHNL2-0
2025-11-02NK Slaven BelupoHNK Hajduk SplitHNL0-0
2025-08-17HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven BelupoHNL3-0
2025-04-05NK Slaven BelupoHNK Hajduk SplitHNL0-1
2025-01-26HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven BelupoHNL0-0
2024-10-20NK Slaven BelupoHNK Hajduk SplitHNL0-2
2024-08-04HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven BelupoHNL2-1
2024-04-20NK Slaven BelupoHNK Hajduk SplitHNL0-1
2024-02-11HNK Hajduk SplitNK Slaven BelupoHNL4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 73.0%, draw 16.1%, away 10.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.26 5.95 8.95
Bet365 1.25 5.75 7.50
BetVictor 1.25 5.50 8.50
Betano 1.30 5.70 7.90
Betfair 1.22 5.50 8.50
Marathonbet 1.25 5.95 9.00
Pinnacle 1.28 6.12 8.29
SBO 1.27 4.66 6.28
William Hill 1.29 5.50 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.26 ▲ +0.01
X 5.70 ▼ -0.20
2 8.50 ▼ -1.45

14 snapshots recorded, from .