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HNL · Full time ·Matchday 7

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka

1 – 1 Full time

19′D. Adu-Adjei
24′Thanasis Triantafyllou
35′Dušan Vuković
52′Tiago Dantas
62′Ivan katicLovre kulusic
62′Noel Durkovicmatija subotic
62′Thanasis Triantafylloujakov gurlica
64′Ante Majstorović
65′Marko Vešović
74′Feta FetaiPavle Smiljanić
76′Ivan CubelicMohammad Mohebbi
76′D. Adu-AdjeiAnte Matej Juric
77′Justas Lasickas
88′Marko VešovićTeodor Kralevski
88′Samuele VignatoNiko Janković
88′Justas LasickasMladen Devetak

Stadion Maksimir, ZagrebReferee: Ivan Vukančić, Croatia

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 21%
Draw 25%
HNK Rijeka 54%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 5
34 Possession % 66
2 Corners 11
13 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 1
4 Saves 2
185 Accurate passes 401

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNK Lokomotiva ZagrebDrawHNK Rijeka
Model36.9%29.4%33.7%
Market16.2%23.3%60.5%
Final21.4%24.8%53.8%
Edge+20.7%+6.1%-26.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

NK Lokomotiva ↓ / HNK Rijeka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Rijeka expected goals

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.29
HNK Rijeka 1.22

Total expected goals: 2.51

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Rijeka attack and defence ratings

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.97 -3%

HNK Rijeka

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka: result vs prediction

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 – 1 HNK Rijeka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 HNK Rijeka 53.8% 1.86 -26.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.8% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.4% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb21.4%
Draw24.8%
HNK Rijeka53.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.2%
Under 2.553.8%
Both teams to scoreYes52.6%
No47.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.2%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)78.6%
Handicap -1HNK Rijeka win14.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.7%
Loss66.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-09.3%
1-09.1%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka stats

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Rijeka recent form

newest first
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb LWLLWW
HNK Rijeka WDLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Rijeka going into this match

league record before kick-off

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

HNK Rijeka record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins 3Draws 6HNK Rijeka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK RijekaHNL0-3
2026-03-01HNK RijekaNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL2-0
2025-11-30NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK RijekaHNL1-1
2025-09-13HNK RijekaNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL1-1
2025-04-06NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK RijekaHNL0-1
2025-01-26HNK RijekaNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL4-1
2024-10-18NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK RijekaHNL2-2
2024-08-04HNK RijekaNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL4-0
2024-04-28NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK RijekaHNL3-1
2024-04-03NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK RijekaCup0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 16.7%, draw 23.5%, away 59.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.85 3.80 1.61
1xBet 5.89 4.15 1.51
Bet365 5.50 3.70 1.50
BetVictor 5.75 3.90 1.50
Betano 5.60 3.90 1.57
Betfair 5.50 3.90 1.50
Dafabet 5.40 4.00 1.62
Marathonbet 5.85 4.15 1.50
Pinnacle 5.85 4.16 1.55
SBO 5.03 3.56 1.50
Unibet 4.60 3.70 1.56
William Hill 5.50 3.80 1.55

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.60 ▲ +0.32
X 3.90 ▼ -0.04
2 1.50 ▼ -0.07

12 snapshots recorded, from .