HNL · 2026-09-12T15:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 7

NK Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb

4 – 2 Full time

2′			Domagoj Bukvic
12′			Armando León
22′			Luka Stojkovic
24′			Jay Kruiver
35′			Armando León
45′			Iker Almena HorcajoMateo Lisica
45′			Moris ValincicNiko Galesic
45′			Luka StojkovicLukas Kacavenda
51′			Jona Ježić
58′			Arber HoxhaLuka Ivanušec
60′			Luka vrbancic
61′			Miha Zajc
62′			Simun MikolcicOleksandr Petrusenko
62′			Jona JežićIvan Barić
73′			Matteo Perez Vinlöf
77′			Josip MišićFran Topic
77′			Jay KruiverLuka Posavec
77′			Admir ljatifiBalazs Bakti
78′			Luka Jelenic
79′			Fran Topic
88′			Armando LeónNiko Farkas
90′			Smail Prevljak
90′			Domagoj Bukvic

Opus Arena, OsijekReferee: Ante Terzić, Croatia

NK Osijek

18%

Draw

22%

Dinamo Zagreb

61%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

17	Shots	12
9	Shots on target	4
42	Possession %	58
2	Corners	6
17	Fouls	16
1	Offsides	0
2	Saves	5
260	Accurate passes	374

NK Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb overview

Garuda Lions analysis: NK Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	NK Osijek	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
Model	26.5%	24.7%	48.8%
Market	14.5%	20.6%	64.8%
Final	17.5%	21.6%	60.8%
Edge	+12.0%	+4.1%	-16.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Dinamo Zagreb

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.33.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

84%

3+ goals

62%

No goals

NK Osijek and Dinamo Zagreb expected goals

NK Osijek

1.33

Dinamo Zagreb

1.86

Total expected goals: 3.19

NK Osijek and Dinamo Zagreb attack and defence ratings

NK Osijek

Attack

1.04 +4%

Defence

1.07 +7%

Dinamo Zagreb

Attack

1.45 +45%

Defence

0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

NK Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb: result vs prediction

NK Osijek 4 – 2 Dinamo Zagreb

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

HNL

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v HNK Rijeka — match page · 2026-09-12
Istra 1961 vs Rudes · 2026-09-13
HNK Hajduk Split v NK Slaven Belupo — match page · 2026-09-13
HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin — team news & stats · 2026-09-14

Before and after this match

NK Osijek, previous: HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek: odds and pick
NK Osijek, next: NK Varazdin – NK Osijek, 2026-09-19
Dinamo Zagreb, previous: Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica prediction
Dinamo Zagreb, next: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb: odds and pick

NK Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Dinamo Zagreb	60.8%	1.64	-16.1%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61.8%	1.62	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	63.1%	1.58	—	—
Double chance	X2 (draw or away)	82.5%	1.21	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	51.2%	1.95	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	NK Osijek	17.5%
	Draw	21.6%
	Dinamo Zagreb	60.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61.8%
	Under 2.5	38.2%
Both teams to score	Yes	63.1%
	No	36.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	39.2%
	12 (either side)	78.4%
	X2 (draw or away)	82.5%
Handicap -1	Dinamo Zagreb win	27.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.9%
	Loss	51.2%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.2%
	1-2	9.5%
	0-2	7.1%

NK Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb stats

NK Osijek and Dinamo Zagreb recent form

newest first

NK Osijek	LWLWWW
Dinamo Zagreb	WDLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

NK Osijek and Dinamo Zagreb going into this match

league record before kick-off

NK Osijek record

They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dinamo Zagreb record

They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

NK Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3NK Osijek wins 0Draws 7Dinamo Zagreb wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-04	Dinamo Zagreb	NK Osijek	HNL	7-0
2026-01-25	NK Osijek	Dinamo Zagreb	HNL	0-3
2025-10-18	Dinamo Zagreb	NK Osijek	HNL	2-1
2025-08-02	NK Osijek	Dinamo Zagreb	HNL	0-2
2025-04-12	Dinamo Zagreb	NK Osijek	HNL	2-0
2025-02-26	Dinamo Zagreb	NK Osijek	Cup	0-1
2025-02-02	NK Osijek	Dinamo Zagreb	HNL	2-1
2024-10-27	Dinamo Zagreb	NK Osijek	HNL	2-4
2024-08-11	NK Osijek	Dinamo Zagreb	HNL	1-2
2024-05-11	Dinamo Zagreb	NK Osijek	HNL	1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

NK Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.1%, draw 21.0%, away 63.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	4.65	3.80	1.64
1xBet	6.83	4.70	1.40
Bet365	6.25	4.20	1.40
BetVictor	6.50	4.33	1.40
Betano	5.90	4.55	1.47
Betfair	6.00	4.40	1.36
Dafabet	4.90	4.00	1.68
Marathonbet	6.80	4.70	1.39
Pinnacle	6.52	4.75	1.44
SBO	5.61	4.02	1.39
Unibet	4.40	3.70	1.58
William Hill	6.00	4.33	1.44

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.25 ▲ +1.51

X 4.40 ▲ +0.49

2 1.40 ▼ -0.27

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-06T08:10:02Z.