Dinamo Zagreb
vs
HNK Gorica
1 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | S. KucisJ. Frigan | ||
| 18′ | Patrik Mijić | ||
| 25′ | S. PericF. Braut | ||
| 28′ | D. Beljo | ||
| 46′ | K. CustovicD. Pavicic | ||
| 49′ | Kirill Kravtsov | ||
| 64′ | Matteo Pérez Vinlöf | ||
| 65′ | M. ZajcL. Kacavenda | ||
| 65′ | A. HoxhaM. Orsic | ||
| 71′ | L. StojkovicL. Ivanusec | ||
| 71′ | J. PranjicF. Brodic | ||
| 71′ | T. LacouxL. Vrzic | ||
| 79′ | Dušan Stevanović | ||
| 81′ | D. BeljoN. Galesic | ||
| 81′ | M. LisicaS. Prevljak |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 67 | Possession % | 33 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 506 | Accurate passes | 206 |
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
| Probability | Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | HNK Gorica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.8% | 17.3% | 7.9% |
| Market | 82.5% | 11.8% | 5.7% |
| Final | 80.6% | 13.1% | 6.2% |
| Edge | -7.7% | +5.6% | +2.2% |
Why Dinamo Zagreb
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dinamo Zagreb and HNK Gorica expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.06
Dinamo Zagreb and HNK Gorica attack and defence ratings
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica: result vs prediction
Dinamo Zagreb 1 – 0 HNK Gorica
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 80.6% | 1.24 | -7.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Zagreb win | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 80.6% |
| Draw | 13.1% | |
| HNK Gorica | 6.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.2% |
| No | 54.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 19.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Zagreb win | 52.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 25.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.4% |
| 3-0 | 10.6% | |
| 1-0 | 10.4% |
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica stats
Dinamo Zagreb and HNK Gorica recent form
| Dinamo Zagreb |
DLWDWW |
| HNK Gorica |
DLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dinamo Zagreb and HNK Gorica going into this match
Dinamo Zagreb record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
HNK Gorica record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | HNK Gorica | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-08 | HNK Gorica | Dinamo Zagreb | Cup | 3-6 |
| 2026-03-01 | Dinamo Zagreb | HNK Gorica | HNL | 4-2 |
| 2025-12-01 | HNK Gorica | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | Dinamo Zagreb | HNK Gorica | HNL | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-23 | HNK Gorica | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Dinamo Zagreb | HNK Gorica | HNL | 3-1 |
| 2024-11-09 | HNK Gorica | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 2-2 |
| 2024-08-24 | Dinamo Zagreb | HNK Gorica | HNL | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-13 | HNK Gorica | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 80.5%, draw 12.9%, away 6.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.18 | 6.40 | 12.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.11 | 8.30 | 17.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.11 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.20 | 6.60 | 12.00 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.19 | 7.60 | 13.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.11 | 8.30 | 17.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14 | 8.64 | 15.57 |
| SBO | 1.15 | 5.61 | 8.49 |
| Superbet | 1.18 | 7.10 | 11.00 |
| Unibet | 1.13 | 6.40 | 12.00 |
| William Hill | 1.14 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .