Garuda Lions
Today
HNL · Full time ·Matchday 5

HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka

0 – 0 Full time

23′M. DevetakJ. Lasickas
46′T. LacouxS. Kucis
58′Anel Husić
65′S. VignatoA. Gojak
65′N. JankovicY. Kabadayi
67′J. PranjicL. Vrzic
78′D. StevanovicJ. Filipovic
78′B. BogojevicK. Custovic
78′T. DantasI. Cubelic
78′D. Adu AdjeiJ. Puljic
81′Ivan Ćubelić
87′A. KaveljJ. Frigan
90′Jakov Puljić

Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika GoricaReferee: Ante Terzić, Croatia

HNK Gorica 21%
Draw 27%
HNK Rijeka 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

2 Shots 11
0 Shots on target 2
31 Possession % 69
2 Corners 8
9 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 0
186 Accurate passes 505

HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHNK GoricaDrawHNK Rijeka
Model28.5%32.0%39.5%
Market18.0%25.5%56.4%
Final20.7%27.2%52.2%
Edge+10.5%+6.5%-16.9%

Confidence: Low

Why HNK Rijeka

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

HNK Gorica ↓ / HNK Rijeka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 12% 8% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

HNK Gorica and HNK Rijeka expected goals

HNK Gorica 0.97
HNK Rijeka 1.18

Total expected goals: 2.15

HNK Gorica and HNK Rijeka attack and defence ratings

HNK Gorica

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 1.09 +9%

HNK Rijeka

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka: result vs prediction

HNK Gorica 0 – 0 HNK Rijeka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 HNK Rijeka 52.2% 1.92 -16.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.7% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score No 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.3% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.7% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2HNK Gorica20.7%
Draw27.2%
HNK Rijeka52.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.3%
Under 2.563.7%
Both teams to scoreYes44.2%
No55.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.8%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)79.3%
Handicap -1HNK Rijeka win17.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss60.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-013.0%
0-112.5%

HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka stats

HNK Gorica and HNK Rijeka recent form

newest first
HNK Gorica LLLLLW
HNK Rijeka LWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

HNK Gorica and HNK Rijeka going into this match

league record before kick-off

HNK Gorica record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1HNK Gorica wins 1Draws 8HNK Rijeka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23HNK RijekaHNK GoricaHNL2-0
2026-03-22HNK GoricaHNK RijekaHNL4-0
2025-12-21HNK RijekaHNK GoricaHNL1-0
2025-10-05HNK GoricaHNK RijekaHNL1-3
2025-05-04HNK RijekaHNK GoricaHNL2-1
2025-03-01HNK GoricaHNK RijekaHNL0-0
2024-11-30HNK RijekaHNK GoricaHNL1-0
2024-09-14HNK GoricaHNK RijekaHNL0-1
2024-04-21HNK RijekaHNK GoricaHNL3-0
2024-02-11HNK GoricaHNK RijekaHNL0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.0%, draw 25.5%, away 56.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.00 3.60 1.64
1xBet 5.30 3.66 1.64
Bet365 5.00 3.50 1.57
BetVictor 5.00 3.60 1.62
Betano 5.20 3.60 1.67
Betfair 5.00 3.75 1.55
Dafabet 5.40 3.80 1.67
Marathonbet 5.35 3.66 1.62
Pinnacle 5.92 3.62 1.64
SBO 4.26 3.33 1.63
Superbet 5.10 3.70 1.65
Unibet 4.50 3.60 1.58
William Hill 5.50 3.60 1.57

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.10 ▼ -0.57
X 3.60 ▼ -0.25
2 1.63 ▲ +0.07

10 snapshots recorded, from .