HNK Rijeka
vs
FC Midtjylland
1 – 4 Full time
HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland
| Probability | HNK Rijeka | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.7% | 32.7% | 28.6% |
| Market | 30.9% | 27.8% | 41.3% |
| Final | 32.8% | 29.0% | 38.1% |
| Edge | +7.8% | +4.8% | -12.6% |
Why FC Midtjylland
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
HNK Rijeka and FC Midtjylland expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
HNK Rijeka and FC Midtjylland attack and defence ratings
HNK Rijeka
FC Midtjylland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland: result vs prediction
HNK Rijeka 1 – 4 FC Midtjylland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Playoff round fixtures
Before and after this match
HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Midtjylland | 38.1% | 2.62 | -12.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HNK Rijeka | 32.8% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| FC Midtjylland | 38.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Midtjylland win | 10.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 71.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 13.9% | |
| 1-0 | 12.9% |
HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland stats
HNK Rijeka and FC Midtjylland recent form
| HNK Rijeka |
WLLDWW |
| FC Midtjylland |
WWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
HNK Rijeka and FC Midtjylland going into this match
HNK Rijeka record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | FC Midtjylland | HNK Rijeka | UEFA Europa Conference League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.9%, draw 27.8%, away 41.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.92 | 3.45 | 2.28 |
| 1xBet | 3.08 | 3.44 | 2.34 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.10 | 3.45 | 2.28 |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 3.28 | 2.26 |
| Pinnacle | 3.08 | 3.27 | 2.30 |
| SBO | 2.80 | 3.02 | 2.16 |
| Superbet | 3.05 | 3.35 | 2.25 |
| Unibet | 2.85 | 3.30 | 2.43 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .