FC Midtjylland
vs
Randers FC
1 – 0 Full time
FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC
| Probability | FC Midtjylland | Draw | Randers FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.2% | 24.9% | 19.0% |
| Market | 64.8% | 20.7% | 14.5% |
| Final | 62.6% | 21.8% | 15.6% |
| Edge | -8.6% | +4.1% | +4.5% |
Why FC Midtjylland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Midtjylland and Randers FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
FC Midtjylland and Randers FC attack and defence ratings
FC Midtjylland
Randers FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC: result vs prediction
FC Midtjylland 1 – 0 Randers FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Midtjylland | 62.6% | 1.60 | -8.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Midtjylland | 62.6% |
| Draw | 21.8% | |
| Randers FC | 15.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Midtjylland win | 32.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 44.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-0 | 10.0% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC stats
FC Midtjylland and Randers FC recent form
| FC Midtjylland |
WDWWWL |
| Randers FC |
WLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Midtjylland and Randers FC going into this match
FC Midtjylland record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Randers FC record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Randers FC | FC Midtjylland | Denmark Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-29 | FC Midtjylland | Randers FC | Denmark Superliga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.7%, draw 20.7%, away 14.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.48 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 4.50 | 6.40 |
| 888Sport | 1.44 | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.50 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.48 | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 4.77 | 6.75 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 4.28 | 5.90 |
| Superbet | 1.48 | 4.60 | 6.30 |
| Unibet | 1.44 | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .