AC Horsens
vs
Viborg
2 – 3 Full time
AC Horsens vs Viborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AC Horsens vs Viborg
| Probability | AC Horsens | Draw | Viborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.9% | 31.2% | 24.8% |
| Market | 21.4% | 24.0% | 54.6% |
| Final | 27.1% | 25.8% | 47.2% |
| Edge | +22.5% | +7.3% | -29.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AC Horsens and Viborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.18
AC Horsens and Viborg attack and defence ratings
AC Horsens
Viborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AC Horsens vs Viborg: result vs prediction
AC Horsens 2 – 3 Viborg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
AC Horsens vs Viborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viborg | 47.2% | 2.12 | -29.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Horsens | 27.1% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Viborg | 47.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.1% |
| No | 55.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Viborg win | 8.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.0% | |
| Loss | 75.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 12.6% |
AC Horsens vs Viborg stats
AC Horsens and Viborg recent form
| AC Horsens |
WWLLDW |
| Viborg |
WWDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AC Horsens and Viborg going into this match
AC Horsens record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
Viborg record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
AC Horsens vs Viborg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-04 | AC Horsens | Viborg | DBU Pokalen | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-04 | AC Horsens | Viborg | DBU Pokalen | 0-4 |
| 2024-01-25 | Viborg | AC Horsens | Friendlies Clubs | 4-2 |
| 2023-02-26 | AC Horsens | Viborg | Superliga | 0-3 |
| 2022-09-12 | Viborg | AC Horsens | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-09 | Viborg | AC Horsens | Friendlies Clubs | 5-4 |
| 2016-12-03 | AC Horsens | Viborg | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2016-09-10 | Viborg | AC Horsens | Superliga | 2-4 |
| 2015-04-25 | AC Horsens | Viborg | 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2014-11-10 | Viborg | AC Horsens | 1. Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AC Horsens vs Viborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.4%, draw 24.0%, away 54.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.50 | 3.85 | 1.70 |
| 1xBet | 4.36 | 4.00 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 4.60 | 3.95 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 4.33 | 3.90 | 1.73 |
| Dafabet | 4.40 | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 4.35 | 3.98 | 1.69 |
| Pinnacle | 4.44 | 4.10 | 1.71 |
| SBO | 3.76 | 3.45 | 1.69 |
| Superbet | 4.40 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
| Unibet | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .