Viborg
vs
FC Copenhagen
4 – 0 Full time
Viborg vs FC Copenhagen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Viborg vs FC Copenhagen
| Probability | Viborg | Draw | FC Copenhagen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.1% | 21.1% | 66.8% |
| Market | 32.5% | 25.8% | 41.7% |
| Final | 27.4% | 24.6% | 48.0% |
| Edge | -20.4% | -4.7% | +25.1% |
Why FC Copenhagen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Copenhagen below the model: +25.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Viborg and FC Copenhagen expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Viborg and FC Copenhagen attack and defence ratings
Viborg
FC Copenhagen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Viborg vs FC Copenhagen: result vs prediction
Viborg 4 – 0 FC Copenhagen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Viborg vs FC Copenhagen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 48.0% | 2.08 | +25.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viborg | 27.4% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| FC Copenhagen | 48.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.5% |
| No | 50.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 43.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 33.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 12.1% |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | |
| 1-1 | 10.1% |
Viborg vs FC Copenhagen stats
Viborg and FC Copenhagen recent form
| Viborg |
WDLWLL |
| FC Copenhagen |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Viborg and FC Copenhagen going into this match
Viborg record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
FC Copenhagen record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Viborg vs FC Copenhagen head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Viborg | FC Copenhagen | DBU Pokalen | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-11 | FC Copenhagen | Viborg | DBU Pokalen | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | FC Copenhagen | Viborg | Denmark Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Viborg | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Viborg vs FC Copenhagen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.5%, draw 25.4%, away 42.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.88 | 3.75 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.87 | 3.70 | 2.23 |
| 888Sport | 2.80 | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.60 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.70 | 2.29 |
| Marathonbet | 2.86 | 3.70 | 2.21 |
| Pinnacle | 2.95 | 3.85 | 2.30 |
| SBO | 2.68 | 3.40 | 2.26 |
| Superbet | 2.95 | 3.65 | 2.30 |
| Unibet | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .