Denmark Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 5

AC Horsens vs Lyngby

2 – 1 Full time

CASA Arena, HorsensReferee: Michael Tykgaard, Denmark

AC Horsens 34%
Draw 28%
Lyngby 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

AC Horsens vs Lyngby overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AC Horsens vs Lyngby

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAC HorsensDrawLyngby
Model46.4%28.3%25.3%
Market30.1%27.9%42.0%
Final34.2%28.0%37.9%
Edge+16.3%+0.5%-16.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AC Horsens ↓ / Lyngby → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 10% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

AC Horsens and Lyngby expected goals

AC Horsens 1.50
Lyngby 1.06

Total expected goals: 2.55

AC Horsens and Lyngby attack and defence ratings

AC Horsens

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Lyngby

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AC Horsens vs Lyngby: result vs prediction

AC Horsens 2 – 1 Lyngby

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

AC Horsens vs Lyngby markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lyngby 37.9% 2.64 -16.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.0% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.8% 1.93 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.0% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.5% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AC Horsens34.2%
Draw28.0%
Lyngby37.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.0%
Under 2.553.0%
Both teams to scoreYes51.8%
No48.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.1%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)65.8%
Handicap -1Lyngby win10.1%
Push (exactly one goal)15.4%
Loss74.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
1-010.5%
2-19.2%

AC Horsens vs Lyngby stats

AC Horsens and Lyngby recent form

newest first
AC Horsens WLLDWW
Lyngby DLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AC Horsens and Lyngby going into this match

league record before kick-off

AC Horsens record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.

Lyngby record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AC Horsens vs Lyngby head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2AC Horsens wins 1Draws 1Lyngby wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-25LyngbyAC HorsensDenmark 1. Division0-2
2026-04-04AC HorsensLyngbyDenmark 1. Division1-0
2026-03-09AC HorsensLyngbyDenmark 1. Division1-3
2025-08-23LyngbyAC HorsensDenmark 1. Division0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AC Horsens vs Lyngby odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.3%, draw 28.0%, away 41.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.88 3.35 2.35
1xBet 3.10 3.36 2.23
888Sport 2.80 3.20 2.45
Bet365 3.25 3.30 2.20
BetVictor 3.10 3.30 2.15
Betano 3.15 3.35 2.30
Betfair 3.10 3.30 2.20
Dafabet 3.15 3.40 2.28
Marathonbet 3.10 3.36 2.21
Pinnacle 3.25 3.47 2.29
SBO 2.95 3.17 2.20
Superbet 3.15 3.40 2.27
Unibet 2.88 3.35 2.35
William Hill 3.00 3.25 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.10 ▲ +0.29
X 3.35 ▲ +0.05
2 2.22 ▼ -0.22

3 snapshots recorded, from .