DBU Pokalen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
FA 2000
vs
Lyngby
0 – 1 Full time
FA 2000
11%
Draw
18%
Lyngby
72%
FA 2000 vs Lyngby overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FA 2000 vs Lyngby
| Probability | FA 2000 | Draw | Lyngby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.6% | 25.4% | 59.0% |
| Market | 9.1% | 15.2% | 75.8% |
| Final | 10.7% | 17.7% | 71.6% |
| Edge | +6.5% | +10.3% | -16.8% |
Why Lyngby
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.79.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
FA 2000 and Lyngby expected goals
FA 2000
0.79
Lyngby
1.75
Total expected goals: 2.54
FA 2000 and Lyngby attack and defence ratings
FA 2000
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Lyngby
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FA 2000 vs Lyngby: result vs prediction
FA 2000 0 – 1 Lyngby
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
FA 2000 vs Lyngby markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyngby | 71.6% | 1.40 | -16.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FA 2000 | 10.7% |
| Draw | 17.7% | |
| Lyngby | 71.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.2% |
| No | 53.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 28.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lyngby win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 40.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 12.7% |
| 0-2 | 12.1% | |
| 1-1 | 12.0% |
FA 2000 vs Lyngby stats
FA 2000 vs Lyngby head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
FA 2000 vs Lyngby odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.1%, draw 15.2%, away 75.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 9.75 | 5.50 | 1.20 |
| 1xBet | 10.90 | 5.95 | 1.19 |
| Bet365 | 8.50 | 7.00 | 1.25 |
| BetVictor | 10.50 | 6.00 | 1.20 |
| Betano | 9.00 | 5.50 | 1.23 |
| Betfair | 10.50 | 6.00 | 1.15 |
| Dafabet | 10.00 | 6.20 | 1.21 |
| Marathonbet | 10.50 | 5.95 | 1.18 |
| Pinnacle | 9.08 | 6.00 | 1.20 |
| SBO | 8.10 | 5.42 | 1.20 |
| Superbet | 9.10 | 6.20 | 1.21 |
| Unibet | 11.00 | 7.50 | 1.13 |
| William Hill | 11.00 | 5.00 | 1.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
10.00 ▼ -2.00
X
6.00 ▼ -0.25
2
1.20 ▲ +0.03
2 snapshots recorded, from .