DBU Pokalen
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Lyseng
vs
AC Horsens
0 – 4 Full time
| 44′ | C. Jorgensen | ||
| 56′ | J. Korkko | ||
| 68′ | Y. Ouorou | ||
| 89′ | I. Ceesay |
Lyseng
9%
Draw
17%
AC Horsens
74%
Lyseng vs AC Horsens overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lyseng vs AC Horsens
| Probability | Lyseng | Draw | AC Horsens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8.9% | 17.0% | 74.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 8.9% | 17.0% | 74.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AC Horsens
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 0.79.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
4%
Lyseng and AC Horsens expected goals
Lyseng
0.79
AC Horsens
2.51
Total expected goals: 3.29
Lyseng and AC Horsens attack and defence ratings
Lyseng
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.06 +6%
AC Horsens
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
0.67 -33%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lyseng vs AC Horsens: result vs prediction
Lyseng 0 – 4 AC Horsens
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lyseng vs AC Horsens markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Horsens | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | AC Horsens win | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyseng | 8.9% |
| Draw | 17.0% | |
| AC Horsens | 74.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% |
| No | 49.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 26.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 91.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | AC Horsens win | 52.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 26.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.6% |
| 0-3 | 9.7% | |
| 1-2 | 9.2% |
Lyseng vs AC Horsens stats
Lyseng and AC Horsens recent form
| Lyseng |
WLWDW |
| AC Horsens |
LWWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Lyseng vs AC Horsens head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Lyseng wins
0Draws
1AC Horsens wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-08-31 | Lyseng | AC Horsens | DBU Pokalen | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.