Denmark Superliga · 2026-09-06T12:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 7

Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens

2 – 5 Full time

12′			O. De Rosario
18′			Maxime Soulas
19′			O. Kolskogen
23′			Stefan Velkov
31′			Y. Ouorou
46′			I. SeydiP. Kristensen
56′			A. Moro
58′			Alexander Munksgaard
58′			Jimi Tauriainen
60′			A. OggesenD. Wilkins
60′			J. TauriainenI. Milicevic
69′			Y. OuorouJ. Bonde
69′			A. MoroA. Herdonsson
69′			J. MadsenJ. Batigi
73′			John Batigi
75′			Jacob Bonde
78′			A. HoegJ. Christensen
79′			K. Ehibhatiomhan
82′			K. EhibhatiomhanA. Justinussen
82′			A. Munksgaard
83′			Dalton Wilkins
83′			M. Haidara
87′			O. De RosarioB. Tambedou

Sydbank Park, HaderslevReferee: Aydin Uslu, Denmark

Sonderjyske

36%

Draw

26%

AC Horsens

38%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

11	Shots	16
3	Shots on target	9
39	Possession %	61
1	Corners	1
11	Fouls	21
0	Offsides	2
4	Saves	1
245	Accurate passes	484

Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Sonderjyske	Draw	AC Horsens
Model	16.3%	22.9%	60.8%
Market	42.4%	27.6%	30.0%
Final	35.9%	26.4%	37.7%
Edge	-26.1%	-4.7%	+30.8%

Confidence: Low

Why AC Horsens

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.96.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices AC Horsens below the model: +30.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

81%

3+ goals

57%

No goals

Sonderjyske and AC Horsens expected goals

Sonderjyske

0.96

AC Horsens

2.02

Total expected goals: 2.98

Sonderjyske and AC Horsens attack and defence ratings

Sonderjyske

Attack

0.78 -22%

Defence

1.21 +21%

AC Horsens

Attack

1.18 +18%

Defence

0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens: result vs prediction

Sonderjyske 2 – 5 AC Horsens

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Viborg v Lyngby — match page · 2026-09-04
Aarhus vs Silkeborg — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
Odense v FC Copenhagen — match page · 2026-09-06
Brondby vs Randers FC — team news & stats · 2026-09-06
FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland · 2026-09-07

Before and after this match

Sonderjyske, previous: Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske: odds and pick
Sonderjyske, next: Lyngby vs Sonderjyske prediction
AC Horsens, previous: Lyseng v AC Horsens analysis
AC Horsens, next: FC Copenhagen vs AC Horsens: odds and pick

Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	AC Horsens	37.7%	2.65	+30.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	57.3%	1.75	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	54.6%	1.83	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.6%	1.36	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	39.2%	2.55	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Sonderjyske	35.9%
	Draw	26.4%
	AC Horsens	37.7%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	57.3%
	Under 2.5	42.7%
Both teams to score	Yes	54.6%
	No	45.4%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	62.3%
	12 (either side)	73.6%
	X2 (draw or away)	64.1%
Handicap -1	AC Horsens win	37.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	23.0%
	Loss	39.2%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	10.8%
	0-2	10.3%
	1-2	10.0%

Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens stats

Sonderjyske and AC Horsens recent form

newest first

Sonderjyske	WLLLDL
AC Horsens	WLWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sonderjyske and AC Horsens going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sonderjyske record

They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AC Horsens record

They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.

Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Sonderjyske wins 1Draws 2AC Horsens wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2024-03-09	AC Horsens	Sonderjyske	1. Division	1-4
2023-08-12	Sonderjyske	AC Horsens	1. Division	5-0
2023-08-09	AC Horsens	Sonderjyske	DBU Pokalen	1-2
2021-05-20	AC Horsens	Sonderjyske	Superliga	1-2
2021-04-11	Sonderjyske	AC Horsens	Superliga	2-3
2021-03-14	Sonderjyske	AC Horsens	Superliga	2-0
2020-11-08	AC Horsens	Sonderjyske	Superliga	0-3
2020-06-10	Sonderjyske	AC Horsens	DBU Pokalen	2-1
2019-12-15	AC Horsens	Sonderjyske	Superliga	2-1
2019-09-13	Sonderjyske	AC Horsens	Superliga	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 27.7%, away 29.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.15	3.25	3.30
1xBet	2.22	3.36	3.13
Bet365	2.20	3.40	3.10
BetVictor	2.15	3.40	3.00
Betano	2.25	3.45	3.20
Betfair	2.10	3.50	3.20
Dafabet	2.21	3.45	3.25
Marathonbet	2.20	3.36	3.12
Pinnacle	2.28	3.52	3.23
SBO	2.09	3.04	2.91
Superbet	2.22	3.45	3.25
Unibet	2.04	3.55	3.30
William Hill	2.20	3.25	3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▲ +0.16

X 3.38 ▼ -0.22

2 3.11 ▼ -0.28

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-08-30T20:10:18Z.