Denmark Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Aarhus vs Silkeborg

2 – 2 Full time

29′Rami Hajal
39′Lucas Thorst Riisgaard
45′Rasmus CarstensenFrederik Emmery
45′James BogereJanni Serra
63′Tobias Bech KristensenCallum McCowatt
67′Rami HajalKristian Kirkegaard
71′Colin RoslerJacob Andersen
71′William KirkAndreas Poulsen
71′Oliver RossMalthe Emil Søgaard Hansen
79′Magnus KnudsenStefen Tchamche
82′Lucas Thorst RiisgaardJulius Lorents Nielsen
82′Villads WesthMaël Durand de Gevigney
88′Janni Serra
90′Mikael Anderson
90′Janni Serra
90′M. D. Kjærgaard

Vejlby Stadion, AarhusReferee: Lasse Laebel Graagaard, Denmark

Aarhus 60%
Draw 22%
Silkeborg 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
62 Possession % 38
8 Corners 3
13 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 4
497 Accurate passes 271

Aarhus vs Silkeborg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aarhus vs Silkeborg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAarhusDrawSilkeborg
Model49.2%24.4%26.4%
Market63.2%20.6%16.3%
Final59.7%21.5%18.8%
Edge-14.0%+3.9%+10.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Aarhus

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.35.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aarhus ↓ / Silkeborg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Aarhus and Silkeborg expected goals

Aarhus 1.89
Silkeborg 1.35

Total expected goals: 3.23

Aarhus and Silkeborg attack and defence ratings

Aarhus

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Silkeborg

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Aarhus vs Silkeborg: result vs prediction

Aarhus 2 – 2 Silkeborg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

Aarhus vs Silkeborg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aarhus 59.7% 1.68 -14.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.7% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.7% 1.57 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.2% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.8% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aarhus59.7%
Draw21.5%
Silkeborg18.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.7%
Under 2.537.3%
Both teams to scoreYes63.7%
No36.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.2%
12 (either side)78.5%
X2 (draw or away)40.3%
Handicap -1Aarhus win28.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss50.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-19.5%
2-07.0%

Aarhus vs Silkeborg stats

Aarhus and Silkeborg recent form

newest first
Aarhus LLLDLL
Silkeborg DLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aarhus and Silkeborg going into this match

league record before kick-off

Aarhus record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Silkeborg record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Aarhus vs Silkeborg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Aarhus wins 5Draws 2Silkeborg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-21SilkeborgAarhusDenmark Superliga0-2
2025-10-05AarhusSilkeborgDenmark Superliga3-1
2024-12-01SilkeborgAarhusSuperliga1-1
2024-09-15AarhusSilkeborgSuperliga1-1
2024-05-16AarhusSilkeborgSuperliga0-1
2024-05-09SilkeborgAarhusDBU Pokalen1-0
2024-04-01SilkeborgAarhusSuperliga2-2
2024-03-10SilkeborgAarhusSuperliga0-1
2023-08-13AarhusSilkeborgSuperliga2-2
2023-02-26AarhusSilkeborgSuperliga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aarhus vs Silkeborg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.9%, draw 20.2%, away 16.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.50 4.60 5.25
1xBet 1.48 4.60 5.75
Bet365 1.48 4.50 6.00
BetVictor 1.45 4.50 5.50
Betano 1.53 4.65 5.40
Betfair 1.47 4.75 5.50
Dafabet 1.54 4.70 5.40
Marathonbet 1.47 4.60 5.75
Pinnacle 1.51 4.93 5.84
SBO 1.46 4.04 4.70
Superbet 1.55 4.65 5.20
Unibet 1.47 4.70 5.60
William Hill 1.50 4.50 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.48 ▲ +0.01
X 4.55 ▼ -0.10
2 5.75 ▼ -0.11

12 snapshots recorded, from .