FC Midtjylland
vs
FC Nordsjaelland
2 – 2 Full time
| 46′ | D. CastilloS. Johannesen | ||
| 54′ | Victor Bak Jensen | ||
| 59′ | L. SadioH. Rasmussen | ||
| 59′ | I. AdelV. Berthelsen | ||
| 63′ | M. Brink | ||
| 65′ | V. BakD. Beni | ||
| 65′ | R. KristensenA. Ndiaye | ||
| 65′ | Cho Gue-SungS. Iheanacho | ||
| 72′ | F. Etim | ||
| 74′ | H. Rasmussen | ||
| 76′ | K. WatjenM. Rajovic | ||
| 86′ | J. LahteenmakiM. Walker | ||
| 86′ | M. BrinkM. Heyde | ||
| 86′ | M. Erlic |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 372 | Accurate passes | 371 |
FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland
| Probability | FC Midtjylland | Draw | FC Nordsjaelland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.7% | 31.1% | 37.2% |
| Market | 49.0% | 25.0% | 26.0% |
| Final | 44.7% | 26.5% | 28.8% |
| Edge | -17.3% | +6.2% | +11.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Midtjylland and FC Nordsjaelland expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
FC Midtjylland and FC Nordsjaelland attack and defence ratings
FC Midtjylland
FC Nordsjaelland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland: result vs prediction
FC Midtjylland 2 – 2 FC Nordsjaelland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Midtjylland | 44.7% | 2.24 | -17.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Midtjylland | 44.7% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.4% |
| No | 52.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Midtjylland win | 13.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 68.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.6% | |
| 0-1 | 10.9% |
FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland stats
FC Midtjylland and FC Nordsjaelland recent form
| FC Midtjylland |
WDWWWD |
| FC Nordsjaelland |
LWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Midtjylland and FC Nordsjaelland going into this match
FC Midtjylland record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Nordsjaelland record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | FC Nordsjaelland | FC Midtjylland | Denmark Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | FC Midtjylland | FC Nordsjaelland | Denmark Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-14 | FC Nordsjaelland | FC Midtjylland | DBU Pokalen | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-04 | FC Midtjylland | FC Nordsjaelland | DBU Pokalen | 5-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | FC Midtjylland | FC Nordsjaelland | Denmark Superliga | 6-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | FC Nordsjaelland | FC Midtjylland | Denmark Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | FC Midtjylland | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | 5-0 |
| 2025-04-22 | FC Nordsjaelland | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | 3-2 |
| 2025-03-02 | FC Midtjylland | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-07-27 | FC Nordsjaelland | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 25.0%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.70 | 3.61 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.76 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.49 | 3.24 |
| Superbet | 1.97 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Unibet | 1.88 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .