DBU Pokalen · Full time ·Round of 64

Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske

0 – 2 Full time

63′S. Emini
90′B. Tambedou
Thisted FC 20%
Draw 18%
Sonderjyske 61%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityThisted FCDrawSonderjyske
Model50.5%24.8%24.7%
Market10.4%16.1%73.4%
Final20.4%18.3%61.3%
Edge+40.1%+8.7%-48.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Thisted FC ↓ / Sonderjyske → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 7% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Thisted FC and Sonderjyske expected goals

Thisted FC 1.85
Sonderjyske 1.25

Total expected goals: 3.10

Thisted FC and Sonderjyske attack and defence ratings

Thisted FC

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Sonderjyske

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske: result vs prediction

Thisted FC 0 – 2 Sonderjyske

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

DBU Pokalen

Before and after this match

Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sonderjyske 61.3% 1.63 -48.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.2% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 81.7% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 75.3% 1.33 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Thisted FC20.4%
Draw18.3%
Sonderjyske61.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Both teams to scoreYes61.2%
No38.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)38.7%
12 (either side)81.7%
X2 (draw or away)79.6%
Handicap -1Sonderjyske win10.6%
Push (exactly one goal)14.1%
Loss75.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
2-19.6%
2-07.7%

Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske stats

Thisted FC and Sonderjyske recent form

newest first
Thisted FC WLWW
Sonderjyske LLLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Thisted FC wins 0Draws 1Sonderjyske wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2015-09-01Thisted FCSonderjyskeDBU Pokalen1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 10.4%, draw 16.1%, away 73.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 8.40 4.75 1.25
1xBet 10.00 5.55 1.22
Bet365 8.00 6.00 1.27
BetVictor 10.00 5.75 1.22
Betano 8.00 5.20 1.30
Betfair 8.50 5.00 1.25
Dafabet 8.60 5.60 1.27
Marathonbet 9.60 5.55 1.21
Pinnacle 8.58 5.70 1.22
SBO 6.86 4.84 1.27
Superbet 8.70 6.00 1.22
Unibet 9.00 6.00 1.20
William Hill 10.00 5.00 1.22

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.