Denmark Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske

3 – 1 Full time

7′A. Munksgaard
30′M. Elyounoussi
45′M. Madsen
53′Mads Emil Madsen
61′Gabriel PereiraA. Sorensen
61′W. ClemT. Delaney
61′A. CorneliusV. Dadason
64′M. Elyounoussi
65′R. VinderslevA. Oggesen
65′S. EminiD. Wilkins
66′Ismaïl Seydi
70′Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason
72′RobertT. Maseko
77′M. MadsenM. Nasnas
77′I. SeydiA. Hoeg
78′M. HaidaraM. Hoppe
89′A. MunksgaardB. Tambedou

Parken, CopenhagenReferee: Jonas Hansen, Denmark

FC Copenhagen 74%
Draw 16%
Sonderjyske 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

25 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 2
59 Possession % 41
7 Corners 3
6 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
1 Saves 6
484 Accurate passes 323

FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC CopenhagenDrawSonderjyske
Model83.2%11.2%5.5%
Market71.1%17.9%11.0%
Final74.2%16.2%9.6%
Edge+12.1%-6.7%-5.4%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Copenhagen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.27 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Copenhagen below the model: +12.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Copenhagen ↓ / Sonderjyske → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 10% 4+ 18% 15%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

FC Copenhagen and Sonderjyske expected goals

FC Copenhagen 3.27
Sonderjyske 0.83

Total expected goals: 4.10

FC Copenhagen and Sonderjyske attack and defence ratings

FC Copenhagen

Attack 1.57 +57%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Sonderjyske

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske: result vs prediction

FC Copenhagen 3 – 1 Sonderjyske

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Copenhagen 74.2% 1.35 +12.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.6% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.7% 1.83 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.4% 1.11 — —
Handicap -1 FC Copenhagen win 66.7% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Copenhagen74.2%
Draw16.2%
Sonderjyske9.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.6%
Under 2.522.4%
Both teams to scoreYes54.7%
No45.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.4%
12 (either side)83.8%
X2 (draw or away)25.8%
Handicap -1FC Copenhagen win66.7%
Push (exactly one goal)16.5%
Loss16.8%
Correct score (top 3)3-09.7%
2-08.9%
3-18.0%

FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske stats

FC Copenhagen and Sonderjyske recent form

newest first
FC Copenhagen WLDWWW
Sonderjyske LLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Copenhagen and Sonderjyske going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Copenhagen record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Sonderjyske record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7FC Copenhagen wins 2Draws 1Sonderjyske wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-07FC CopenhagenSonderjyskeDenmark Superliga0-2
2025-09-27SonderjyskeFC CopenhagenDenmark Superliga1-2
2025-03-09FC CopenhagenSonderjyskeSuperliga1-1
2024-10-30SonderjyskeFC CopenhagenDBU Pokalen1-2
2024-08-11SonderjyskeFC CopenhagenSuperliga0-2
2024-07-16FC CopenhagenSonderjyskeFriendlies Clubs3-2
2021-10-17SonderjyskeFC CopenhagenSuperliga1-1
2021-08-22FC CopenhagenSonderjyskeSuperliga2-0
2021-02-15FC CopenhagenSonderjyskeSuperliga3-2
2020-11-29SonderjyskeFC CopenhagenSuperliga1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 71.1%, draw 17.9%, away 11.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.30 5.10 8.75
1xBet 1.31 5.20 8.90
Bet365 1.30 5.25 9.00
BetVictor 1.29 5.25 8.00
Betano 1.35 5.20 8.50
Betfair 1.30 5.00 8.50
Dafabet 1.33 5.60 8.20
Marathonbet 1.30 5.20 9.00
Pinnacle 1.34 5.59 8.85
SBO 1.31 5.13 6.95
Superbet 1.33 5.65 7.80
Unibet 1.36 5.00 7.50
William Hill 1.30 5.00 8.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.31 —
X 5.20 —
2 8.50 —

11 snapshots recorded, from .