Sonderjyske
vs
FC Nordsjaelland
0 – 3 Full time
Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland
| Probability | Sonderjyske | Draw | FC Nordsjaelland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 7.8% | 20.5% | 71.7% |
| Market | 22.6% | 22.7% | 54.7% |
| Final | 18.9% | 22.1% | 59.0% |
| Edge | -14.8% | -2.2% | +17.0% |
Why FC Nordsjaelland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Nordsjaelland below the model: +17.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sonderjyske and FC Nordsjaelland expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Sonderjyske and FC Nordsjaelland attack and defence ratings
Sonderjyske
FC Nordsjaelland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland: result vs prediction
Sonderjyske 0 – 3 FC Nordsjaelland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Nordsjaelland | 59.0% | 1.70 | +17.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Nordsjaelland win | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sonderjyske | 18.9% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 59.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.3% |
| No | 63.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Nordsjaelland win | 46.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 28.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 16.0% |
| 0-1 | 15.1% | |
| 0-3 | 10.7% |
Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland stats
Sonderjyske and FC Nordsjaelland recent form
| Sonderjyske |
LDLLLW |
| FC Nordsjaelland |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sonderjyske and FC Nordsjaelland going into this match
Sonderjyske record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Nordsjaelland record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Sonderjyske | FC Nordsjaelland | Denmark Superliga | 1-4 |
| 2026-03-22 | FC Nordsjaelland | Sonderjyske | Denmark Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-08 | FC Nordsjaelland | Sonderjyske | Denmark Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Sonderjyske | FC Nordsjaelland | Denmark Superliga | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.0%, draw 23.1%, away 53.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.85 |
| 1xBet | 4.16 | 4.20 | 1.71 |
| 888Sport | 3.75 | 3.90 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 4.00 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 4.30 | 4.10 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 4.20 | 1.70 |
| Dafabet | 4.20 | 4.20 | 1.74 |
| Marathonbet | 4.20 | 4.20 | 1.69 |
| Pinnacle | 4.25 | 4.45 | 1.74 |
| SBO | 3.84 | 3.83 | 1.71 |
| Superbet | 4.15 | 4.20 | 1.74 |
| Unibet | 4.00 | 3.95 | 1.75 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.73 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .