Denmark Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Aarhus vs Odense

2 – 2 Full time

Vejlby Stadion, AarhusReferee: Mads Kristoffer Kristoffersen, Denmark

Aarhus 50%
Draw 25%
Odense 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Aarhus vs Odense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aarhus vs Odense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAarhusDrawOdense
Model40.5%28.2%31.3%
Market53.5%24.0%22.5%
Final50.2%25.0%24.7%
Edge-13.0%+4.2%+8.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Aarhus

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aarhus ↓ / Odense → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Aarhus and Odense expected goals

Aarhus 1.44
Odense 1.25

Total expected goals: 2.69

Aarhus and Odense attack and defence ratings

Aarhus

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Odense

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Aarhus vs Odense: result vs prediction

Aarhus 2 – 2 Odense

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

Aarhus vs Odense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aarhus 50.2% 1.99 -13.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.3% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.6% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.8% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aarhus50.2%
Draw25.0%
Odense24.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.3%
Under 2.549.7%
Both teams to scoreYes55.6%
No44.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.3%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)49.8%
Handicap -1Aarhus win19.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss59.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
2-18.8%
1-08.6%

Aarhus vs Odense stats

Aarhus and Odense recent form

newest first
Aarhus LLLWDW
Odense LLWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aarhus and Odense going into this match

league record before kick-off

Aarhus record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Odense record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Aarhus vs Odense head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Aarhus wins 0Draws 1Odense wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-09AarhusOdenseDenmark Superliga2-1
2025-12-14AarhusOdenseDBU Pokalen3-1
2025-12-11OdenseAarhusDBU Pokalen1-0
2025-08-18OdenseAarhusDenmark Superliga1-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aarhus vs Odense odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.5%, draw 24.0%, away 22.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.75 3.90 4.20
1xBet 1.75 3.96 4.12
888Sport 1.75 3.80 4.20
Bet365 1.75 3.80 4.33
BetVictor 1.73 3.75 4.00
Betano 1.82 3.85 4.15
Betfair 1.73 4.00 4.20
Dafabet 1.80 3.90 4.20
Marathonbet 1.73 3.98 4.15
Pinnacle 1.81 4.09 4.17
SBO 1.79 3.54 3.76
Superbet 1.80 3.90 4.15
Unibet 1.71 3.90 4.35
William Hill 1.75 3.60 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 —
X 3.90 —
2 4.15 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .