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UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·Playoff round

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland

2 – 3 Full time

Kybunpark, St. GallenReferee: O. Grinfeld

FC ST. Gallen 38%
Draw 25%
FC Nordsjaelland 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC ST. GallenDrawFC Nordsjaelland
Model22.1%28.1%49.8%
Market43.4%23.9%32.7%
Final38.0%25.0%37.0%
Edge-21.3%+4.2%+17.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC ST. Gallen ↓ / FC Nordsjaella → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 12% 10% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

FC ST. Gallen and FC Nordsjaelland expected goals

FC ST. Gallen 0.95
FC Nordsjaelland 1.53

Total expected goals: 2.47

FC ST. Gallen and FC Nordsjaelland attack and defence ratings

FC ST. Gallen

Attack 1.40 +40%
Defence 0.96 -4%

FC Nordsjaelland

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.41 -59%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland: result vs prediction

FC ST. Gallen 2 – 3 FC Nordsjaelland

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Playoff round fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC ST. Gallen 38.0% 2.63 -21.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score No 50.8% 1.97 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 77.8% 1.28 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC ST. Gallen38.0%
Draw25.0%
FC Nordsjaelland37.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.1%
Under 2.554.9%
Both teams to scoreYes49.2%
No50.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.0%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)62.0%
Handicap -1FC ST. Gallen win8.1%
Push (exactly one goal)14.1%
Loss77.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
0-111.6%
0-29.9%

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland stats

FC ST. Gallen and FC Nordsjaelland recent form

newest first
FC ST. Gallen LWWDWW
FC Nordsjaelland WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC ST. Gallen and FC Nordsjaelland going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Nordsjaelland record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0FC ST. Gallen wins 0Draws 1FC Nordsjaelland wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-20FC NordsjaellandFC ST. GallenUEFA Europa Conference League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.4%, draw 23.9%, away 32.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.14 3.90 2.88
1xBet 2.22 3.98 2.94
Bet365 2.10 4.10 2.70
BetVictor 2.15 3.90 2.80
Betano 2.18 4.05 2.90
Betfair 2.10 3.80 2.80
Dafabet 2.19 4.00 2.90
Marathonbet 2.14 3.84 2.84
Pinnacle 2.15 4.01 2.86
SBO 2.05 3.44 2.70
Superbet 2.17 3.90 2.85
Unibet 2.12 3.75 3.05
William Hill 2.15 3.60 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.61
X 3.90 ▲ +0.52
2 2.85 ▲ +0.33

12 snapshots recorded, from .