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Denmark Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby

3 – 1 Full time

12′A. Lind
22′J. Janssen
27′Bartosz Slisz
31′Juho Lähteenmäki
34′Prince Amoako Junior
46′M. KohlertM. Divkovic
53′T. SalquistS. Acquah
53′P. AmoakoH. Rasmussen
53′A. LindV. Berthelsen
59′O. HyseniO. Fenger
65′F. BundgaardP. Mortensen
65′M. YounisS. Fukuda
69′I. AdelN. Rojkjaer
81′M. EjdumD. Wass
82′Peter Ankersen
83′H. Rasmussen
84′M. BrinkM. Heyde
90′P. Mortensen

Right to Dream Park, FarumReferee: Mikkel Redder, Denmark

FC Nordsjaelland 49%
Draw 25%
Brondby 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 4
40 Possession % 60
4 Corners 5
8 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 5
337 Accurate passes 542

FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC NordsjaellandDrawBrondby
Model64.5%24.0%11.5%
Market43.5%25.3%31.1%
Final48.8%25.0%26.2%
Edge+21.0%-1.3%-19.7%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Nordsjaelland

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 0.79.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Nordsjaelland below the model: +21.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Nordsjaella ↓ / Brondby → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

FC Nordsjaelland and Brondby expected goals

FC Nordsjaelland 1.88
Brondby 0.79

Total expected goals: 2.66

FC Nordsjaelland and Brondby attack and defence ratings

FC Nordsjaelland

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.49 -51%

Brondby

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby: result vs prediction

FC Nordsjaelland 3 – 1 Brondby

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Denmark Superliga

Before and after this match

FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Nordsjaelland 48.8% 2.05 +21.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score No 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 37.8% 2.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Nordsjaelland48.8%
Draw25.0%
Brondby26.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.8%
Under 2.556.2%
Both teams to scoreYes40.1%
No59.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.8%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)51.2%
Handicap -1FC Nordsjaelland win37.8%
Push (exactly one goal)24.4%
Loss37.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.8%
2-014.2%
1-111.0%

FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby stats

FC Nordsjaelland and Brondby recent form

newest first
FC Nordsjaelland WWWWWW
Brondby WWWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Nordsjaelland and Brondby going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Nordsjaelland record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Brondby record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2FC Nordsjaelland wins 1Draws 2Brondby wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-01BrondbyFC NordsjaellandDenmark Superliga1-1
2026-04-07FC NordsjaellandBrondbyDenmark Superliga2-1
2025-11-09BrondbyFC NordsjaellandDenmark Superliga2-0
2025-10-30FC NordsjaellandBrondbyDBU Pokalen4-2
2025-07-27FC NordsjaellandBrondbyDenmark Superliga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.5%, draw 25.3%, away 31.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.15 3.85 2.90
1xBet 2.14 3.68 3.04
Bet365 2.15 3.70 2.90
BetVictor 2.05 3.60 3.00
Betano 2.18 3.95 2.95
Betfair 2.10 3.80 3.00
Dafabet 2.19 3.80 3.05
Marathonbet 2.12 3.68 3.04
Pinnacle 2.15 3.79 3.11
SBO 2.14 3.17 2.73
Unibet 2.28 3.60 2.85
William Hill 2.10 3.50 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.21
X 3.69 ▲ +0.04
2 3.00 ▲ +0.25

13 snapshots recorded, from .