Randers FC
vs
Aarhus
2 – 1 Full time
Randers FC vs Aarhus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Randers FC vs Aarhus
| Probability | Randers FC | Draw | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 26.1% | 38.1% |
| Market | 29.7% | 26.0% | 44.2% |
| Final | 31.3% | 26.1% | 42.7% |
| Edge | +6.1% | +0.1% | -6.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Randers FC and Aarhus expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.12
Randers FC and Aarhus attack and defence ratings
Randers FC
Aarhus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Randers FC vs Aarhus: result vs prediction
Randers FC 2 – 1 Aarhus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Randers FC vs Aarhus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aarhus | 42.7% | 2.34 | -6.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Randers FC | 31.3% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Aarhus | 42.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% |
| No | 37.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aarhus win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 64.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Randers FC vs Aarhus stats
Randers FC and Aarhus recent form
| Randers FC |
LWLWLD |
| Aarhus |
LDLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Randers FC and Aarhus going into this match
Randers FC record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Aarhus record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Randers FC vs Aarhus head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | Randers FC | Aarhus | Denmark Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-25 | Aarhus | Randers FC | Denmark Superliga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Randers FC vs Aarhus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.7%, draw 26.0%, away 44.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 3.16 | 3.60 | 2.11 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.14 |
| Marathonbet | 3.16 | 3.60 | 2.09 |
| Pinnacle | 3.20 | 3.72 | 2.13 |
| SBO | 2.80 | 3.13 | 2.11 |
| Unibet | 3.10 | 3.55 | 2.12 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .