Lyngby
vs
Sonderjyske
1 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | Simon Colyn | ||
| 56′ | Maxime Soulas | ||
| 60′ | Andreas OggesenJacob Christensen | ||
| 60′ | Dalton WilkinsIsmaïl Seydi | ||
| 63′ | Jens ThomasenMathias Hebo Rasmussen | ||
| 63′ | Oliver HøjerMarkus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji | ||
| 66′ | Isak Thorvaldsson | ||
| 75′ | Ismaïl Seydi | ||
| 78′ | Rasmus VinderslevSefer Emini | ||
| 78′ | Anders Raffnsøe HoegLirim Qamili | ||
| 88′ | Renzo TytensDaniel Kristjansson | ||
| 88′ | Isak ThorvaldssonFrederik Gytkjær | ||
| 89′ | Mohamed CherifMatthew Hoppe |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 385 | Accurate passes | 269 |
Lyngby vs Sonderjyske overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lyngby vs Sonderjyske
| Probability | Lyngby | Draw | Sonderjyske |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.7% | 20.9% | 13.4% |
| Market | 59.1% | 22.4% | 18.5% |
| Final | 60.8% | 22.0% | 17.2% |
| Edge | +6.6% | -1.5% | -5.1% |
Why Lyngby
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Lyngby below the model: +6.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lyngby and Sonderjyske expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Lyngby and Sonderjyske attack and defence ratings
Lyngby
Sonderjyske
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lyngby vs Sonderjyske: result vs prediction
Lyngby 1 – 1 Sonderjyske
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lyngby vs Sonderjyske markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyngby | 60.8% | 1.65 | +6.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Lyngby win | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyngby | 60.8% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Sonderjyske | 17.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lyngby win | 43.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 34.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.9% |
| 1-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.8% |
Lyngby vs Sonderjyske stats
Lyngby and Sonderjyske recent form
| Lyngby |
WWDWLD |
| Sonderjyske |
LWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lyngby and Sonderjyske going into this match
Lyngby record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sonderjyske record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lyngby vs Sonderjyske head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | Sonderjyske | Lyngby | Superliga | 5-1 |
| 2025-04-17 | Lyngby | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2024-12-01 | Lyngby | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2024-07-26 | Sonderjyske | Lyngby | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-17 | Sonderjyske | Lyngby | Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2021-04-21 | Lyngby | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2021-03-01 | Sonderjyske | Lyngby | Superliga | 1-4 |
| 2020-12-16 | Sonderjyske | Lyngby | DBU Pokalen | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-04 | Lyngby | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2020-07-08 | Lyngby | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lyngby vs Sonderjyske odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.8%, draw 22.6%, away 18.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 4.20 | 5.01 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.15 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.20 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 4.39 | 5.26 |
| SBO | 1.53 | 3.73 | 4.43 |
| Unibet | 1.58 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
17 snapshots recorded, from .