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HNL · Full time ·Matchday 5

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split

2 – 0 Full time

16′M. Sego
21′Pavle Smiljanić
46′J. VasiljM. Lorber
46′P. SmiljanicI. Katic
46′D. ThaqiKayke
53′Marcel Lorber
55′M. Soticek
59′A. SutaloA. Sanyang
67′F. KaracicD. Reic
73′M. AcapandieD. Hadzikadunic
73′M. SoticekA. Huram
78′Marcel Lorber
78′Marcel Lorber
81′D. de AlmeidaE. Brruti
81′M. SegoM. Livaja
82′Adrion Pajaziti
82′D. VukovicD. Morina

Stadion Maksimir, ZagrebReferee: Ivan Vukančić, Croatia

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 54%
Draw 21%
HNK Hajduk Split 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 28
2 Shots on target 13
35 Possession % 65
1 Corners 7
16 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 4
11 Saves 2
188 Accurate passes 429

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split overview

Garuda Lions analysis: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNK Lokomotiva ZagrebDrawHNK Hajduk Split
Model22.8%22.4%54.8%
Market65.1%20.9%14.0%
Final54.5%21.3%24.2%
Edge-42.2%+1.4%+40.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

NK Lokomotiva ↓ / HNK Hajduk Spl → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 5% 1 10% 9% 7% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Hajduk Split expected goals

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.35
HNK Hajduk Split 2.15

Total expected goals: 3.50

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Hajduk Split attack and defence ratings

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.08 +8%

HNK Hajduk Split

Attack 1.64 +64%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split: result vs prediction

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2 – 0 HNK Hajduk Split

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 54.5% 1.83 -42.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.9% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.4% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.7% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 77.2% 1.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb54.5%
Draw21.3%
HNK Hajduk Split24.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.9%
Under 2.532.1%
Both teams to scoreYes66.4%
No33.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.8%
12 (either side)78.7%
X2 (draw or away)45.5%
Handicap -1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win10.0%
Push (exactly one goal)12.8%
Loss77.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.6%
1-29.4%
0-27.0%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split stats

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Hajduk Split recent form

newest first
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb LLWWDD
HNK Hajduk Split WWDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Hajduk Split going into this match

league record before kick-off

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

HNK Hajduk Split record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins 3Draws 5HNK Hajduk Split wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Hajduk SplitHNL1-1
2026-03-15HNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL2-1
2025-12-13NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Hajduk SplitHNL1-3
2025-09-27HNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL2-0
2025-04-13HNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL1-1
2025-02-02NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Hajduk SplitHNL3-2
2024-10-26HNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL2-1
2024-08-11NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Hajduk SplitHNL1-1
2024-05-25NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Hajduk SplitHNL2-5
2024-03-16HNK Hajduk SplitNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.1%, draw 20.9%, away 14.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.39 4.30 7.25
1xBet 1.41 4.60 6.78
Bet365 1.40 4.00 6.25
BetVictor 1.40 4.33 6.50
Betano 1.47 4.35 6.40
Betfair 1.33 4.60 6.50
Dafabet 1.46 4.70 6.60
Marathonbet 1.40 4.60 6.75
Pinnacle 1.41 4.79 7.09
SBO 1.39 4.04 5.61
Superbet 1.44 4.50 6.20
Unibet 1.36 4.35 6.25
William Hill 1.44 4.20 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 —
X 4.35 ▼ -0.15
2 6.50 ▼ -0.03

10 snapshots recorded, from .