Raków Częstochowa
vs
HNK Hajduk Split
2 – 3 Full time
Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split
| Probability | Raków Częstochowa | Draw | HNK Hajduk Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.3% | 25.1% | 34.6% |
| Market | 44.1% | 26.9% | 29.0% |
| Final | 43.2% | 26.5% | 30.4% |
| Edge | -3.8% | -1.8% | +5.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Raków Częstochowa and HNK Hajduk Split expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.27
Raków Częstochowa and HNK Hajduk Split attack and defence ratings
Raków Częstochowa
HNK Hajduk Split
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split: result vs prediction
Raków Częstochowa 2 – 3 HNK Hajduk Split
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Playoff round fixtures
Before and after this match
Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raków Częstochowa | 43.2% | 2.32 | -3.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raków Częstochowa | 43.2% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| HNK Hajduk Split | 30.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% |
| No | 34.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Raków Częstochowa win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split stats
Raków Częstochowa and HNK Hajduk Split recent form
| Raków Częstochowa |
DLWDLW |
| HNK Hajduk Split |
WDWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Raków Częstochowa and HNK Hajduk Split going into this match
Raków Częstochowa record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | HNK Hajduk Split | Raków Częstochowa | UEFA Europa Conference League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Raków Częstochowa vs HNK Hajduk Split odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 26.9%, away 29.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.16 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.56 | 3.32 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.45 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.44 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.57 | 3.21 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 3.14 | 3.02 |
| Superbet | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Unibet | 2.04 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .