Garuda Lions
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HNL · Full time ·Matchday 4

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek

4 – 0 Full time

Stadion Poljud, SplitReferee: Patrik Kolarić, Croatia

HNK Hajduk Split 44%
Draw 27%
NK Osijek 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek overview

Garuda Lions analysis: HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHNK Hajduk SplitDrawNK Osijek
Model43.1%27.6%29.3%
Market44.0%26.3%29.6%
Final43.8%26.6%29.6%
Edge-0.9%+1.3%-0.3%

Confidence: Low

Why HNK Hajduk Split

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 1.22.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

HNK Hajduk Spl ↓ / NK Osijek → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

HNK Hajduk Split and NK Osijek expected goals

HNK Hajduk Split 1.53
NK Osijek 1.22

Total expected goals: 2.75

HNK Hajduk Split and NK Osijek attack and defence ratings

HNK Hajduk Split

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 1.00 +0%

NK Osijek

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek: result vs prediction

HNK Hajduk Split 4 – 0 NK Osijek

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 HNK Hajduk Split 43.8% 2.28 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.0% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.6% 1.77 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.8% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2HNK Hajduk Split43.8%
Draw26.6%
NK Osijek29.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.0%
Under 2.548.0%
Both teams to scoreYes56.6%
No43.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.4%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)56.2%
Handicap -1HNK Hajduk Split win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss56.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
2-19.1%
1-08.5%

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek stats

HNK Hajduk Split and NK Osijek recent form

newest first
HNK Hajduk Split DWWDWL
NK Osijek WWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

HNK Hajduk Split and NK Osijek going into this match

league record before kick-off

HNK Hajduk Split record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

NK Osijek record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3HNK Hajduk Split wins 0Draws 1NK Osijek wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-21HNK Hajduk SplitNK OsijekHNL0-1
2026-02-15NK OsijekHNK Hajduk SplitHNL0-2
2025-11-08HNK Hajduk SplitNK OsijekHNL2-0
2025-08-24NK OsijekHNK Hajduk SplitHNL0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 26.2%, away 29.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.82 3.45 4.00
1xBet 2.07 3.72 3.11
888Sport 1.80 3.60 3.80
Bet365 2.05 3.50 3.00
BetVictor 2.05 3.40 2.90
Betano 2.15 3.50 3.15
Betfair 2.00 3.50 3.10
Dafabet 2.16 3.60 3.25
Marathonbet 2.10 3.70 3.00
Pinnacle 2.14 3.81 3.12
SBO 2.08 3.06 2.93
Superbet 2.15 3.45 3.15
Unibet 1.87 3.30 3.45
William Hill 2.15 3.40 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.09 ▲ +0.17
X 3.50 —
2 3.10 ▼ -0.43

4 snapshots recorded, from .