Dinamo Zagreb
vs
NK Varazdin
3 – 1 Full time
Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin
| Probability | Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NK Varazdin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.9% | 23.3% | 18.8% |
| Market | 61.9% | 21.3% | 16.8% |
| Final | 60.9% | 21.8% | 17.3% |
| Edge | -4.0% | +2.0% | +2.0% |
Why Dinamo Zagreb
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.07.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dinamo Zagreb and NK Varazdin expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.08
Dinamo Zagreb and NK Varazdin attack and defence ratings
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Varazdin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin: result vs prediction
Dinamo Zagreb 3 – 1 NK Varazdin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 60.9% | 1.64 | -4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 60.9% |
| Draw | 21.8% | |
| NK Varazdin | 17.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% |
| No | 42.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Zagreb win | 35.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 41.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.2% |
Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin stats
Dinamo Zagreb and NK Varazdin recent form
| Dinamo Zagreb |
DWWWWW |
| NK Varazdin |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dinamo Zagreb and NK Varazdin going into this match
Dinamo Zagreb record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
NK Varazdin record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Dinamo Zagreb | NK Varazdin | HNL | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-22 | NK Varazdin | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 0-4 |
| 2025-11-22 | Dinamo Zagreb | NK Varazdin | HNL | 3-1 |
| 2025-08-30 | NK Varazdin | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.2%, draw 21.2%, away 16.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.32 | 4.65 | 8.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 4.45 | 5.63 |
| 888Sport | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.35 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 4.45 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54 | 4.36 | 5.64 |
| SBO | 1.41 | 4.01 | 5.32 |
| Superbet | 1.52 | 4.40 | 5.25 |
| Unibet | 1.41 | 4.00 | 5.75 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .