NK Varazdin
vs
Rudes
2 – 0 Full time
NK Varazdin vs Rudes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NK Varazdin vs Rudes
| Probability | NK Varazdin | Draw | Rudes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.2% | 15.7% | 12.1% |
| Market | 71.5% | 18.3% | 10.2% |
| Final | 71.7% | 17.6% | 10.7% |
| Edge | +0.7% | -2.6% | +1.8% |
Why NK Varazdin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.95 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
NK Varazdin and Rudes expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.16
NK Varazdin and Rudes attack and defence ratings
NK Varazdin
Rudes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
NK Varazdin vs Rudes: result vs prediction
NK Varazdin 2 – 0 Rudes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
NK Varazdin vs Rudes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NK Varazdin | 71.7% | 1.40 | +0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.4% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | NK Varazdin win | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NK Varazdin | 71.7% |
| Draw | 17.6% | |
| Rudes | 10.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% |
| No | 33.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | NK Varazdin win | 53.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 27.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.2% |
| 3-1 | 8.1% | |
| 2-0 | 6.8% |
NK Varazdin vs Rudes stats
NK Varazdin and Rudes recent form
| NK Varazdin |
LWWWLW |
| Rudes |
WLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
NK Varazdin and Rudes going into this match
NK Varazdin record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Rudes record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
NK Varazdin vs Rudes head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
NK Varazdin vs Rudes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.5%, draw 18.3%, away 10.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.29 | 4.80 | 9.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.28 | 5.20 | 9.95 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 4.75 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 4.75 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.33 | 5.10 | 8.25 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.32 | 5.40 | 9.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 5.20 | 10.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30 | 5.18 | 8.94 |
| Superbet | 1.31 | 5.20 | 8.20 |
| Unibet | 1.28 | 4.80 | 7.50 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.80 | 9.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .