NK Osijek
vs
NK Slaven Belupo
3 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | J. Jezic | ||
| 37′ | N. Omerovic | ||
| 46′ | L. BanovecA. Grgic | ||
| 51′ | J. Jezic | ||
| 59′ | I. NestorovskiM. Dabro | ||
| 60′ | L. BosnjakA. Adeshina | ||
| 61′ | J. JezicB. Bakti | ||
| 61′ | N. OmerovicA. Ljatifi | ||
| 70′ | R. JurisicD. Kalem | ||
| 71′ | I. DolcekS. Mikolcic | ||
| 72′ | D. BosakA. Jonsson | ||
| 79′ | Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina | ||
| 83′ | M. HeisterL. Posavec | ||
| 83′ | J. MitrovicT. Bozic |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 461 | Accurate passes | 201 |
NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo
| Probability | NK Osijek | Draw | NK Slaven Belupo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.1% | 22.9% | 13.9% |
| Market | 55.6% | 24.4% | 20.0% |
| Final | 57.4% | 24.0% | 18.5% |
| Edge | +7.6% | -1.5% | -6.1% |
Why NK Osijek
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices NK Osijek below the model: +7.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
NK Osijek and NK Slaven Belupo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
NK Osijek and NK Slaven Belupo attack and defence ratings
NK Osijek
NK Slaven Belupo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo: result vs prediction
NK Osijek 3 – 0 NK Slaven Belupo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NK Osijek | 57.4% | 1.74 | +7.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | NK Osijek win | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NK Osijek | 57.4% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| NK Slaven Belupo | 18.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | NK Osijek win | 39.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 36.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 1-1 | 11.0% |
NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo stats
NK Osijek and NK Slaven Belupo recent form
| NK Osijek |
LWWWWL |
| NK Slaven Belupo |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
NK Osijek and NK Slaven Belupo going into this match
NK Osijek record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
NK Slaven Belupo record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | NK Osijek | NK Slaven Belupo | HNL | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-22 | NK Slaven Belupo | NK Osijek | HNL | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-20 | NK Osijek | NK Slaven Belupo | HNL | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | NK Slaven Belupo | NK Osijek | HNL | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.6%, draw 24.4%, away 20.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.45 |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.78 | 4.76 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.75 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.71 | 3.95 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.78 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 3.79 | 4.93 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.48 | 4.01 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .