Garuda Lions
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HNL · Full time ·Matchday 6

HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek

4 – 1 Full time

11′Jona Ježić
15′A. Leon
21′S. Vignato
33′D. Adu Adjei
43′D. Adu Adjei
45′Domagoj Bukvić
46′S. MustaficL. Posavec
46′M. HeisterD. Kalem
46′J. JezicS. Mikolcic
58′I. KolarikI. Jezic
61′T. Fruk
65′I. DolcekI. Baric
69′S. VignatoA. Gojak
79′T. FrukA. Juric
80′D. Adu AdjeiM. Mohebi
85′T. DantasA. Barco
85′I. CubelicG. Grulovic

Stadion HNK Rijeka, RijekaReferee: Mateo Erceg, Croatia

HNK Rijeka 46%
Draw 29%
NK Osijek 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 9
14 Shots on target 3
49 Possession % 51
8 Corners 3
15 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 11
336 Accurate passes 361

HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek overview

Garuda Lions analysis: HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHNK RijekaDrawNK Osijek
Model34.1%31.8%34.1%
Market50.2%28.3%21.5%
Final46.2%29.2%24.6%
Edge-16.1%+3.5%+12.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

HNK Rijeka ↓ / NK Osijek → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 1 11% 15% 7% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

HNK Rijeka and NK Osijek expected goals

HNK Rijeka 1.10
NK Osijek 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.21

HNK Rijeka and NK Osijek attack and defence ratings

HNK Rijeka

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.88 -12%

NK Osijek

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek: result vs prediction

HNK Rijeka 4 – 1 NK Osijek

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 HNK Rijeka 46.2% 2.17 -16.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.1% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score No 54.1% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.8% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2HNK Rijeka46.2%
Draw29.2%
NK Osijek24.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.9%
Under 2.562.1%
Both teams to scoreYes45.9%
No54.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.4%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)53.8%
Handicap -1HNK Rijeka win14.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss65.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.4%
0-110.8%

HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek stats

HNK Rijeka and NK Osijek recent form

newest first
HNK Rijeka DLWLLD
NK Osijek WLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

HNK Rijeka and NK Osijek going into this match

league record before kick-off

NK Osijek record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4HNK Rijeka wins 2Draws 4NK Osijek wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12HNK RijekaNK OsijekHNL0-2
2026-02-01NK OsijekHNK RijekaHNL1-0
2025-10-27HNK RijekaNK OsijekHNL4-2
2025-08-09NK OsijekHNK RijekaHNL0-0
2025-04-23HNK RijekaNK OsijekHNL0-2
2025-02-16NK OsijekHNK RijekaHNL0-2
2024-11-10HNK RijekaNK OsijekHNL1-1
2024-08-25NK OsijekHNK RijekaHNL0-2
2024-05-19NK OsijekHNK RijekaHNL2-0
2024-03-10HNK RijekaNK OsijekHNL3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 27.5%, away 21.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.82 3.35 4.20
1xBet 1.85 3.24 4.45
Bet365 1.75 3.25 4.10
BetVictor 1.80 3.40 4.00
Betano 1.82 3.30 4.60
Betfair 1.80 3.40 4.10
Dafabet 1.85 3.45 4.50
Marathonbet 1.83 3.24 4.45
Pinnacle 1.85 3.22 4.91
SBO 1.81 3.05 3.49
Superbet 1.82 3.40 4.35
Unibet 1.73 3.40 3.90
William Hill 1.83 3.40 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▲ +0.01
X 3.25 ▲ +0.02
2 4.28 ▼ -0.12

10 snapshots recorded, from .