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HNL · Full time ·Matchday 6

Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split

0 – 4 Full time

4′Michele Šego
28′Michele Šego
45′Ivan ĐoricVid Seitz
48′marin soticek
63′filip tarababruno unusic
63′Jurica PoldrugacKristijan Lovrić
63′Abdoulie SanyangCarlos Martín Domínguez
63′marin soticekAdam Huram
64′Etnik brrutiKhalil Fayad
76′Michele ŠegoMarko Livaja
82′Dario MarešićDennis Hadzikadunić
82′ante susakJunior Fernandes
82′Lenny IlecicToni Kolega
87′Khalil Fayad

Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika GoricaReferee: Antonio Škobić, Croatia

Rudes 12%
Draw 17%
HNK Hajduk Split 71%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

3 Shots 18
0 Shots on target 6
34 Possession % 66
2 Corners 7
12 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1
2 Saves 0
207 Accurate passes 487

Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRudesDrawHNK Hajduk Split
Model18.0%17.8%64.2%
Market9.5%17.2%73.3%
Final11.6%17.3%71.0%
Edge+8.4%+0.6%-9.1%

Confidence: Low

Why HNK Hajduk Split

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.80 vs 1.50.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rudes ↓ / HNK Hajduk Spl → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 7% 1 6% 8% 7% 10% 2 6% 6% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Rudes and HNK Hajduk Split expected goals

Rudes 1.50
HNK Hajduk Split 2.80

Total expected goals: 4.30

Rudes and HNK Hajduk Split attack and defence ratings

Rudes

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.56 +56%

HNK Hajduk Split

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split: result vs prediction

Rudes 0 – 4 HNK Hajduk Split

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 HNK Hajduk Split 71.0% 1.41 -9.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.2% 1.25 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.5% 1.36 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 88.4% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 HNK Hajduk Split win 45.0% 2.22 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rudes11.6%
Draw17.3%
HNK Hajduk Split71.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.2%
Under 2.519.8%
Both teams to scoreYes73.5%
No26.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)29.0%
12 (either side)82.7%
X2 (draw or away)88.4%
Handicap -1HNK Hajduk Split win45.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss35.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.0%
1-37.5%
1-16.3%

Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split stats

Rudes and HNK Hajduk Split recent form

newest first
Rudes LWLLL
HNK Hajduk Split LWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Rudes and HNK Hajduk Split going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rudes record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

HNK Hajduk Split record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Rudes wins 0Draws 9HNK Hajduk Split wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-27HNK Hajduk SplitRudesHNL5-1
2024-02-17RudesHNK Hajduk SplitHNL0-2
2023-11-04HNK Hajduk SplitRudesHNL1-0
2023-08-20RudesHNK Hajduk SplitHNL0-2
2019-05-14RudesHNK Hajduk SplitHNL1-4
2019-03-16HNK Hajduk SplitRudesHNL3-0
2018-12-01RudesHNK Hajduk SplitHNL1-4
2018-09-15HNK Hajduk SplitRudesHNL3-1
2018-05-06RudesHNK Hajduk SplitHNL2-1
2018-03-03HNK Hajduk SplitRudesHNL1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rudes vs HNK Hajduk Split odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 10.9%, draw 17.6%, away 71.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 7.75 5.10 1.31
1xBet 10.10 5.55 1.26
Bet365 8.00 5.25 1.27
BetVictor 9.00 5.25 1.25
Betano 8.50 5.30 1.31
Betfair 8.50 5.00 1.25
Dafabet 9.00 5.80 1.30
Marathonbet 10.25 5.55 1.25
Pinnacle 9.49 5.65 1.29
SBO 6.38 4.41 1.28
Superbet 8.00 5.55 1.29
Unibet 6.75 4.40 1.32
William Hill 10.00 5.00 1.29

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 9.75 ▲ +4.17
X 5.40 ▲ +1.38
2 1.27 ▼ -0.20

11 snapshots recorded, from .