Zulte Waregem
vs
Seraing United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zulte Waregem
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United
| Probability | Zulte Waregem | Draw | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.4% | 26.0% | 25.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.4% | 26.0% | 25.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Zulte Waregem
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United match preview
Zulte Waregem enters this Belgium Cup match against Seraing United with a probability of winning at 48%, while both teams are equally positioned for a draw or loss at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.72 for Zulte Waregem and 1.21 for Seraing United. Recent form shows Zulte Waregem with a mixed record of L-L-L-W-D-W, while Seraing United has struggled, recording L-W-D-L-L-D.
The model suggests a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood that both teams will score. With a confidence grade of C, the match promises to be competitive, reflecting the close probabilities and recent performances of both teams.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zulte Waregem and Seraing United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Zulte Waregem and Seraing United attack and defence ratings
Zulte Waregem
Seraing United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zulte Waregem | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zulte Waregem | 48.4% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Seraing United | 25.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% |
| No | 41.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zulte Waregem win | 26.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 51.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.1% |
Zulte Waregem vs Seraing United stats
Zulte Waregem and Seraing United recent form
| Zulte Waregem |
LLLWDW |
| Seraing United |
LWDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.