Albert Quévy-Mons
vs
Charleroi
Garuda Lions Prediction: Albert Quévy-Mons
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi
| Probability | Albert Quévy-Mons | Draw | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.2% | 29.7% | 27.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.2% | 29.7% | 27.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Albert Quévy-Mons
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 1.04.
Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi match preview
In the upcoming Belgium Cup match, Albert Quévy-Mons faces Charleroi with a probability of 43% for a home win, while a draw is estimated at 30% and Charleroi at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with an 11% chance. The expected goals for Albert Quévy-Mons stand at 1.37, compared to Charleroi's 1.04, indicating a slight edge for the home side.
Both teams have shown strong recent form, with Albert Quévy-Mons recording three wins and a draw in their last five matches, while Charleroi has also been solid with four wins in their last five. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 43%, and both teams to score is estimated at 49%, suggesting a competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Albert Quévy-Mons and Charleroi expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Albert Quévy-Mons and Charleroi attack and defence ratings
Albert Quévy-Mons
Charleroi
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 43.2% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Charleroi | 27.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.5% |
| No | 50.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Albert Quévy-Mons win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 56.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi stats
Albert Quévy-Mons and Charleroi recent form
| Albert Quévy-Mons |
WLWDWW |
| Charleroi |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.