OH Leuven
vs
Francs Borains
Garuda Lions Prediction: Francs Borains
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
OH Leuven vs Francs Borains overview
Garuda Lions analysis: OH Leuven vs Francs Borains
| Probability | OH Leuven | Draw | Francs Borains |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.7% | 31.2% | 38.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.7% | 31.2% | 38.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Francs Borains
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
OH Leuven vs Francs Borains match preview
In the upcoming Belgium Cup match, OH Leuven faces Francs Borains, with our model assigning a 31% probability to both a win for OH Leuven and a draw, while Francs Borains holds a 38% chance of winning. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at an 11% probability. Expected goals for OH Leuven stand at 1.06, slightly lower than Francs Borains' 1.20.
Recent form shows OH Leuven struggling with a record of D-W-D-L-L-L, while Francs Borains has been more successful with L-W-W-W-W-L. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39%, and there is a 47% chance that both teams will score during the match. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
OH Leuven and Francs Borains expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
OH Leuven and Francs Borains attack and defence ratings
OH Leuven
Francs Borains
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Albert Quévy-Mons v Charleroi — match page
- Heist vs Antwerp — team news & stats
- Club Brugge KV vs Lokeren-Temse
- Zulte Waregem v Seraing United — match page
- Excelsior Virton vs Genk — team news & stats
- RAAL La Louvière vs Liège
- KV Mechelen v AS Eupen — match page
- Union St. Gilloise vs Nijlen — team news & stats
Before and after this match
OH Leuven vs Francs Borains markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Francs Borains | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OH Leuven | 30.7% |
| Draw | 31.2% | |
| Francs Borains | 38.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Francs Borains win | 16.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 62.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-1 | 11.2% |
OH Leuven vs Francs Borains stats
OH Leuven and Francs Borains recent form
| OH Leuven |
DWDLLL |
| Francs Borains |
LWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.