Challenger Pro League · 2026-10-10T14:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 7

K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains

3 – 0 Full time

6′			Mathias Francotte
49′			Kyan Himpe
56′			Raymond AsanteNoah Diliberto
56′			Yannis KariCorenthyn Lavie
59′			Pietro Perdichizzi
63′			Bryan SmeetsChristian Nsonga Fopossi Kouam
71′			Dieumerci NdongalaEnzo Faty
71′			Keres MasanguRabby Mateta Pepa
74′			Kyan HimpeDaan De Peuter
77′			K. Lierse S.K.
80′			Vincent De VosJano Willems
80′			Samih El TouileDylan Dassy
80′			Sam VanderhallenThiebe Van Elsuwege
86′			Aboubacar AliSeverin nioule

Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier

K. Lierse S.K.

31%

Draw

28%

Francs Borains

41%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

13	Shots	21
4	Shots on target	2
39	Possession %	61
3	Corners	9
13	Fouls	9
2	Offsides	2
1	Saves	2
221	Accurate passes	384

K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains overview

Garuda Lions analysis: K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	K. Lierse S.K.	Draw	Francs Borains
Model	26.3%	28.8%	44.9%
Market	32.8%	27.6%	39.6%
Final	31.2%	27.9%	40.9%
Edge	-1.6%	+0.3%	+1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Francs Borains

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.06.
Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

92%

2+ goals

76%

3+ goals

50%

No goals

K. Lierse S.K. and Francs Borains expected goals

K. Lierse S.K.

1.06

Francs Borains

1.59

Total expected goals: 2.66

K. Lierse S.K. and Francs Borains attack and defence ratings

K. Lierse S.K.

Attack

0.82 -18%

Defence

1.10 +10%

Francs Borains

Attack

1.06 +6%

Defence

0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains: result vs prediction

K. Lierse S.K. 3 – 0 Francs Borains

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Challenger Pro League

Dender vs Club Brugge II — team news & stats · 2026-10-09
RSC Anderlecht II vs AS Eupen — team news & stats · 2026-10-09
Excelsior Virton v Sporting Hasselt — match page · 2026-10-10
Beerschot VA vs Liège · 2026-10-10
Patro Eisden v KRC Genk II — match page · 2026-10-11
KAA Gent II vs Seraing United · 2026-10-11

Before and after this match

K. Lierse S.K., previous: Rochefort – K. Lierse S.K., 2026-09-27
K. Lierse S.K., next: RSC Anderlecht II v K. Lierse S.K. analysis
Francs Borains, previous: Diegem Sport vs Francs Borains: odds and pick
Francs Borains, next: OH Leuven vs Francs Borains: odds and pick

K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Francs Borains	40.9%	2.44	+1.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	53.9%	1.85	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	51.4%	1.95	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.1%	1.39	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	51.5%	1.94	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	K. Lierse S.K.	31.2%
	Draw	27.9%
	Francs Borains	40.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	46.1%
	Under 2.5	53.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	51.4%
	No	48.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	59.1%
	12 (either side)	72.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	68.8%
Handicap -1	Francs Borains win	26.0%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.6%
	Loss	51.5%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.7%
	0-1	10.5%
	0-0	9.3%

K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains stats

K. Lierse S.K. and Francs Borains recent form

newest first

K. Lierse S.K.	LLDDWL
Francs Borains	WWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

K. Lierse S.K. and Francs Borains going into this match

league record before kick-off

K. Lierse S.K. record

They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Francs Borains record

They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
77% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3K. Lierse S.K. wins 0Draws 3Francs Borains wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-04	K. Lierse S.K.	Francs Borains	Challenger Pro League	0-2
2025-12-13	Francs Borains	K. Lierse S.K.	Challenger Pro League	0-1
2025-03-02	Francs Borains	K. Lierse S.K.	Challenger Pro League	1-0
2024-10-06	K. Lierse S.K.	Francs Borains	Challenger Pro League	4-0
2024-03-02	K. Lierse S.K.	Francs Borains	Challenger Pro League	3-1
2023-09-17	Francs Borains	K. Lierse S.K.	Challenger Pro League	2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

K. Lierse S.K. vs Francs Borains odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.8%, draw 27.6%, away 39.6%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.82	3.22	2.27
Bet365	2.70	3.30	2.25
BetVictor	2.80	3.40	2.30
Betano	2.82	3.30	2.35
Betfair	2.70	3.30	2.30
Dafabet	2.90	3.45	2.39
Marathonbet	2.76	3.22	2.25
Pinnacle	2.91	3.37	2.45
SBO	2.62	3.06	2.26
William Hill	2.75	3.00	2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.78 ▲ +0.02

X 3.30 ▲ +0.04

2 2.30 ▲ +0.01

9 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-06T08:10:02Z.