KAA Gent II
vs
K. Lierse S.K.
Garuda Lions Prediction: K. Lierse S.K.
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.30.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.
| Probability | KAA Gent II | Draw | K. Lierse S.K. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.5% | 26.6% | 43.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.5% | 26.6% | 43.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why K. Lierse S.K.
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.30.
KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. match preview
KAA Gent II faces K. Lierse S.K. in the Challenger Pro League, with kickoff set for October 30, 2026. According to our model, K. Lierse S.K. holds a 42% probability of winning, while KAA Gent II has a 32% chance, and a draw stands at 26%. The expected goals are 1.42 for KAA Gent II and 1.64 for K. Lierse S.K., indicating a closely contested match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%.
In terms of recent form, KAA Gent II has recorded a win, a draw, and three losses in their last six matches, while K. Lierse S.K. shows a mixed record of three wins, two draws, and a loss. Furthermore, there is a 59% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 62%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KAA Gent II and K. Lierse S.K. expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
KAA Gent II and K. Lierse S.K. attack and defence ratings
KAA Gent II
K. Lierse S.K.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | K. Lierse S.K. | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KAA Gent II | 29.5% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| K. Lierse S.K. | 43.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% |
| No | 40.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | K. Lierse S.K. win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 56.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 7.6% |
KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. stats
KAA Gent II and K. Lierse S.K. recent form
| KAA Gent II |
LWDLDW |
| K. Lierse S.K. |
WLLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KAA Gent II and K. Lierse S.K. season so far
KAA Gent II record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
K. Lierse S.K. record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | K. Lierse S.K. | KAA Gent II | Challenger Pro League | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-25 | KAA Gent II | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.