RSC Anderlecht II
vs
K. Lierse S.K.
Garuda Lions Prediction: K. Lierse S.K.
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.39.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K. overview
Garuda Lions analysis: RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K.
| Probability | RSC Anderlecht II | Draw | K. Lierse S.K. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.9% | 24.2% | 49.0% |
| Market | 35.6% | 25.9% | 38.5% |
| Final | 33.4% | 25.5% | 41.1% |
| Edge | -2.2% | -0.4% | +2.6% |
Why K. Lierse S.K.
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices K. Lierse S.K. below our published probability: +2.6 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.49, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.4% per unit staked (our 41.1% × 2.49 − 1).
RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K. match preview
RSC Anderlecht II faces K. Lierse S.K. in the Challenger Pro League, with kickoff set for October 23, 2026. The probabilities indicate a competitive match, with RSC Anderlecht II at 33%, a draw at 26%, and K. Lierse S.K. leading at 42%. The expected goals suggest a slight edge for K. Lierse S.K. at 1.92 compared to RSC Anderlecht II's 1.39. Recent form shows RSC Anderlecht II struggling with six consecutive matches without a win, while K. Lierse S.K. has a mixed record of three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six games.
The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of K. Lierse S.K., with a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 64%, and both teams scoring at 65%. The head-to-head record over the last ten matches shows RSC Anderlecht II with 2 wins, K. Lierse S.K. with 3 wins, and 5 draws, indicating a balanced rivalry.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
RSC Anderlecht II and K. Lierse S.K. expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
RSC Anderlecht II and K. Lierse S.K. attack and defence ratings
RSC Anderlecht II
K. Lierse S.K.
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K. markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | K. Lierse S.K. | 41.1% | 2.43 | +2.6% | 2.49 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RSC Anderlecht II | 33.4% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| K. Lierse S.K. | 41.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% |
| No | 35.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | K. Lierse S.K. win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 2-1 | 6.8% |
RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K. stats
RSC Anderlecht II and K. Lierse S.K. recent form
| RSC Anderlecht II |
LLLDLL |
| K. Lierse S.K. |
WLLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
RSC Anderlecht II and K. Lierse S.K. season so far
RSC Anderlecht II record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
K. Lierse S.K. record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K. head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | RSC Anderlecht II | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-29 | K. Lierse S.K. | RSC Anderlecht II | Challenger Pro League | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | K. Lierse S.K. | RSC Anderlecht II | Challenger Pro League | 3-1 |
| 2024-11-30 | RSC Anderlecht II | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-13 | K. Lierse S.K. | RSC Anderlecht II | Challenger Pro League | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | RSC Anderlecht II | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 3-3 |
| 2023-04-15 | RSC Anderlecht II | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 2-2 |
| 2023-03-11 | K. Lierse S.K. | RSC Anderlecht II | Challenger Pro League | 2-0 |
| 2023-01-22 | RSC Anderlecht II | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League | 3-3 |
| 2022-09-16 | K. Lierse S.K. | RSC Anderlecht II | Challenger Pro League | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K. odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.6%, draw 25.9%, away 38.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.54 | 3.38 | 2.33 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.55 | 2.37 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.65 | 2.43 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 3.38 | 2.33 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65 | 3.49 | 2.49 |
| SBO | 2.42 | 3.17 | 2.26 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .