AS Eupen
vs
Beerschot VA
Garuda Lions Prediction: Beerschot VA
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.67.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Beerschot VA is the favourite, not a value bet.
AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA
| Probability | AS Eupen | Draw | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.1% | 22.9% | 46.1% |
| Market | 31.6% | 26.5% | 41.9% |
| Final | 31.5% | 25.6% | 42.9% |
| Edge | -0.1% | -0.9% | +1.0% |
Why Beerschot VA
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.67.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 5 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.31, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.8% per unit staked (our 42.9% × 2.31 − 1).
AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA match preview
AS Eupen faces Beerschot VA in the Challenger Pro League with both teams showing contrasting recent form. AS Eupen has recorded five consecutive wins followed by a loss, while Beerschot VA has maintained an impressive winning streak of six matches. According to our model, the probabilities suggest a 30% chance for AS Eupen to win, a 22% chance for a draw, and a 48% chance for Beerschot VA to secure the victory.
The expected goals for this matchup indicate AS Eupen at 1.68 and Beerschot VA at 2.13, with a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals (73%) and both teams scoring (73%). The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of Beerschot VA, reflecting their stronger position in recent performances and head-to-head results, where Eupen has yet to secure a win against Beerschot VA.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AS Eupen and Beerschot VA expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.72
AS Eupen and Beerschot VA attack and defence ratings
AS Eupen
Beerschot VA
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beerschot VA | 42.9% | 2.33 | +1.0% | 2.31 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Eupen | 31.5% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Beerschot VA | 42.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.5% |
| No | 28.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beerschot VA win | 26.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA stats
AS Eupen and Beerschot VA recent form
| AS Eupen |
LWWWWW |
| Beerschot VA |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AS Eupen and Beerschot VA season so far
AS Eupen record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Beerschot VA record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | AS Eupen | Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League | 3-3 |
| 2025-08-16 | Beerschot VA | AS Eupen | Challenger Pro League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AS Eupen vs Beerschot VA odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.6%, draw 26.5%, away 41.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.98 | 3.32 | 2.13 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.45 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.60 | 2.31 |
| Marathonbet | 2.91 | 3.32 | 2.11 |
| Pinnacle | 3.19 | 3.46 | 2.15 |
| SBO | 2.51 | 3.16 | 2.19 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .