Beerschot VA
vs
Francs Borains
Garuda Lions Prediction: Beerschot VA
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.14.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains
| Probability | Beerschot VA | Draw | Francs Borains |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.3% | 20.8% | 16.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 62.3% | 20.8% | 16.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Beerschot VA
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains match preview
Beerschot VA enters the match against Francs Borains with a strong recent form, having won their last six games. The model gives Beerschot VA a 62% probability of winning, with an expected goals tally of 2.36, indicating a robust offensive performance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring with a 10% probability.
In contrast, Francs Borains has experienced mixed results, with two wins and two losses in their last six matches. The model assigns them a 17% chance of victory, with an expected goals figure of 1.20. Additionally, there is a 69% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and a 64% chance that both teams will find the net.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Beerschot VA and Francs Borains expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.43
Beerschot VA and Francs Borains attack and defence ratings
Beerschot VA
Francs Borains
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beerschot VA | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Beerschot VA win | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beerschot VA | 62.3% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Francs Borains | 16.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% |
| No | 38.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beerschot VA win | 40.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 37.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-0 | 8.5% |
Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains stats
Beerschot VA and Francs Borains recent form
| Beerschot VA |
WWWWWW |
| Francs Borains |
LLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Beerschot VA and Francs Borains season so far
Beerschot VA record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Francs Borains record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 71% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Francs Borains | Beerschot VA | Challenger Pro League | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Beerschot VA | Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.